MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (48) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
The QScore of 48 for Walmart indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's short-term score slightly exceeding its long-term score. Walmart scores high on growth and momentum, driven by its 13.2% EPS growth and 18.9% 12-month return. However, the stock trades at a premium, with a P/E of 40.6, which weighs down its value score. Its profitability and risk profiles are relatively stable, with an ROE near 24% and a beta of 0.6.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$1.8B over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 38 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Avg target $142 (last qtr, 8 analysts) → $155 (last mo, 1) (+9.1%).
Buy-rated share 91% → 89% over ~3 months (-2pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $0.66 | $0.66 | +0.2% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.73 | $0.74 | +1.8% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.60 | $0.62 | +3.2% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.73 | $0.68 | -7.2% |
| May 2025 | $0.57 | $0.61 | +6.1% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.65 | $0.66 | +2.2% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.53 | $0.58 | +9.4% |
| Aug 2024 | $0.65 | $0.67 | +3.1% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $572.8B— | $611.3B+6.7% | $648.1B+6.0% | $681.0B+5.1% | $713.2B+4.7% |
| EPS (dil.) | $1.62— | $1.42-12.3% | $1.91+34.5% | $2.41+26.2% | $2.73+13.3% |
| Free Cash Flow | $11.1B— | $12.0B+8.2% | $15.1B+26.2% | $12.7B-16.3% | $14.9B+17.9% |
| Gross Margin | 25.1% | 24.1%-1.0pp | 24.4%+0.2pp | 24.9%+0.5pp | 24.9%+0.1pp |
| Operating Margin | 4.5% | 3.3%-1.2pp | 4.2%+0.8pp | 4.3%+0.1pp | 4.2%-0.1pp |
| Net Margin | 2.4% | 1.9%-0.5pp | 2.4%+0.5pp | 2.9%+0.5pp | 3.1%+0.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.