MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (50) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net insider -$1.5B over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 38 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $572.8B— | $611.3B+6.7% | $648.1B+6.0% | $681.0B+5.1% | $713.2B+4.7% |
| EPS (dil.) | $1.62— | $1.42-12.3% | $1.91+34.5% | $2.41+26.2% | $2.73+13.3% |
| Free Cash Flow | $11.1B— | $12.0B+8.2% | $15.1B+26.2% | $12.7B-16.3% | $14.9B+17.9% |
| Gross Margin | 25.1% | 24.1%-1.0pp | 24.4%+0.2pp | 24.9%+0.5pp | 24.9%+0.1pp |
| Operating Margin | 4.5% | 3.3%-1.2pp | 4.2%+0.8pp | 4.3%+0.1pp | 4.2%-0.1pp |
| Net Margin | 2.4% | 1.9%-0.5pp | 2.4%+0.5pp | 2.9%+0.5pp | 3.1%+0.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 4.3%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $14.2B (avg FY2024–FY2026; latest year $14.9B) · equity value $920.2B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $140 avg across 7 analysts.
Buy-rated share 89% → 86% over ~3 months (-3pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $0.66 | $0.66 | +0.2% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.73 | $0.74 | +1.8% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.60 | $0.62 | +3.2% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.73 | $0.68 | -7.2% |
| May 2025 | $0.57 | $0.61 | +6.1% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.65 | $0.66 | +2.2% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.53 | $0.58 | +9.4% |
| Aug 2024 | $0.65 | $0.67 | +3.1% |
The QScore of 50 for Walmart indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's long-term and short-term scores diverging slightly. The score is driven up by the company's growth prospects, with revenue and earnings per share growth of 4.7% and 13.2%, respectively. However, the stock trades at a premium, with a P/E of 40.6, which weighs on its value score, while its profitability score is also subdued due to a moderate return on equity of 23.9%. The stock exhibits mixed momentum, with a 12-month return of 11.4% but a decline of 12.2% over the past three months.