MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (57) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net insider -$2.1M over 180 days (2 open-market buys, 8 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.7B— | $6.5B+37.8% | $6.8B+3.9% | $5.7B-15.8% | $6.1B+7.4% |
| EPS (dil.) | $3.90— | $4.49+15.1% | $3.99-11.1% | $1.73-56.6% | $0.39-77.5% |
| Free Cash Flow | $430M— | $421M-2.1% | $342M-18.7% | $507M+48.1% | $679M+34.0% |
| Gross Margin | 26.2% | 23.4%-2.8pp | 24.2%+0.8pp | 22.4%-1.9pp | 15.8%-6.6pp |
| Operating Margin | 18.7% | 15.8%-2.9pp | 14.0%-1.8pp | 8.2%-5.8pp | 6.4%-1.7pp |
| Net Margin | 13.7% | 11.3%-2.4pp | 9.5%-1.8pp | 4.9%-4.7pp | 1.0%-3.9pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 3.2%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $509M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $679M) · equity value $8.7B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $79 avg across 4 analysts.
Buy-rated share 92% → 92% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $1.70 | $1.67 | -1.8% |
| Jul 2026 | $1.40 | $2.41 | +72.1% |
| Apr 2026 | $0.56 | $0.83 | +48.2% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.43 | $0.36 | -16.3% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.13 | $0.12 | -7.7% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.12 | $0.09 | -25.0% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.20 | $-0.16 | -180.0% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.35 | $0.63 | +80.0% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 57 for DAR indicates a neutral outlook, driven by strong value and profitability scores, which are offset by weaker growth and momentum scores. The stock trades at a relatively low P/E of 10.3 and exhibits strong profitability metrics, including an ROE of 22.8% and an operating margin of 16.2%. However, growth scores are dragged down by a significant decline in EPS growth, despite revenue growth of 7.4%. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 3-point difference.