MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (60) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Net insider -$1.4M over 180 days (2 open-market buys, 4 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.7B— | $6.5B+37.8% | $6.8B+3.9% | $5.7B-15.8% | $6.1B+7.4% |
| EPS (dil.) | $3.90— | $4.49+15.1% | $3.99-11.1% | $1.73-56.6% | $0.39-77.5% |
| Free Cash Flow | $430M— | $421M-2.1% | $342M-18.7% | $507M+48.1% | $679M+34.0% |
| Gross Margin | 26.2% | 23.4%-2.8pp | 24.2%+0.8pp | 22.4%-1.9pp | 15.8%-6.6pp |
| Operating Margin | 18.7% | 15.8%-2.9pp | 14.0%-1.8pp | 8.2%-5.8pp | 6.4%-1.7pp |
| Net Margin | 13.7% | 11.3%-2.4pp | 9.5%-1.8pp | 4.9%-4.7pp | 1.0%-3.9pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $62 avg across 3 analysts.
Buy-rated share 100% → 92% over ~3 months (-8pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $1.40 | $2.41 | +72.1% |
| Apr 2026 | $0.56 | $0.83 | +48.2% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.43 | $0.64 | +48.8% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.13 | $0.12 | -7.7% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.12 | $0.09 | -25.0% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.20 | $-0.16 | -180.0% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.35 | $0.63 | +80.0% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.40 | $0.11 | -72.5% |
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth below the analyst consensus of 7.8%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $509M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $679M) · equity value $10.1B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 60 for DAR suggests a moderately attractive stock, driven by its strong momentum, with a 12-month return of 104.0% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average trend. The stock's value and profitability scores are more neutral, with a P/E of 16.9 and an ROE of 12.2%, while growth is hindered by a decline in EPS. The short-term score is slightly higher than the long-term score, indicating some near-term optimism, with the stock exhibiting strong momentum and trading at a reasonable valuation.