MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (49) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Avg target $159 (last qtr, 8 analysts) → $156 (last mo, 1) (-1.9%).
Buy-rated share 58% → 56% over ~3 months (-2pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $1.56 | $1.59 | +1.9% |
| Jan 2026 | $1.86 | $1.88 | +1.1% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.90 | $1.99 | +4.7% |
| Jul 2025 | $1.42 | $1.48 | +4.2% |
| Apr 2025 | $1.52 | $1.54 | +1.3% |
| Jan 2025 | $1.89 | $1.88 | -0.5% |
| Oct 2024 | $1.90 | $1.93 | +1.6% |
| Jul 2024 | $1.37 | $1.40 | +2.2% |
Net insider -$55.5M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 12 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $76.1B— | $80.2B+5.3% | $82.0B+2.3% | $84.0B+2.5% | $84.3B+0.3% |
| EPS (dil.) | $5.50— | $5.81+5.6% | $5.90+1.5% | $6.02+2.0% | $6.51+8.1% |
| Free Cash Flow | $15.6B— | $13.6B-12.9% | $13.8B+1.6% | $16.5B+19.9% | $14.0B-15.0% |
| Gross Margin | 51.2% | 47.4%-3.8pp | 47.9%+0.4pp | 51.4%+3.5pp | 51.2%-0.2pp |
| Operating Margin | 23.6% | 22.2%-1.4pp | 22.1%-0.1pp | 22.1%-0.0pp | 24.3%+2.2pp |
| Net Margin | 18.8% | 18.4%-0.4pp | 17.9%-0.5pp | 17.7%-0.2pp | 19.0%+1.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
The QScore of 49 for PG indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a strong profitability profile, with a high ROE of 31.3% and gross margin of 50.3%, which scores high on this factor. However, the stock's value and growth scores are lower, due to a P/E of 21.3 and sluggish revenue growth of 0.3%. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 2-point difference, suggesting a consistent view across different time horizons. Overall, PG exhibits strong profitability but trades at a premium and exhibits weak growth.