MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (55) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.5B— | $6.3B+13.9% | $7.1B+13.1% | $7.5B+4.9% | $8.3B+10.7% |
| EPS (dil.) | $0.65— | $0.56-13.2% | $0.77+37.5% | $0.74-3.2% | $0.97+30.2% |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.1B— | $676M-38.5% | $1.5B+119.5% | $1.7B+12.2% | $2.0B+18.1% |
| Gross Margin | 56.1% | 50.3%-5.8pp | 53.1%+2.8pp | 54.0%+0.9pp | 55.8%+1.8pp |
| Operating Margin | 32.4% | 25.1%-7.3pp | 27.4%+2.2pp | 25.8%-1.6pp | 29.2%+3.4pp |
| Net Margin | 24.9% | 18.9%-6.0pp | 22.8%+4.0pp | 20.1%-2.7pp | 23.0%+2.8pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $100 (last qtr, 8 analysts) → $99 (last mo, 5) (-0.8%).
Buy-rated share 54% → 54% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $0.59 | $0.30 | -49.2% |
| May 2026 | $0.26 | $0.29 | +10.1% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.49 | $0.51 | +4.1% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.24 | $0.56 | +134.0% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.24 | $0.26 | +8.2% |
| May 2025 | $0.21 | $0.23 | +9.3% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.20 | $0.19 | -5.0% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.21 | $0.40 | +86.0% |
Net insider -$15.5M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 5 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 8.6%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $1.7B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $2.0B) · equity value $91.3B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 55 for Monster Beverage Corporation indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of strong growth and profitability metrics, as well as high valuation multiples. The stock scores high on growth and profitability, with revenue growth of 10.7% and an ROE near 25%, but trades at a premium with a P/E of 42.8. The short-term score is slightly higher than the long-term score, suggesting some positive momentum, with a 12-month return of 45.5% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average crossover.