MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (53) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.5B— | $6.3B+13.9% | $7.1B+13.1% | $7.5B+4.9% | $8.3B+10.7% |
| EPS (dil.) | $1.29— | $1.12-13.2% | $1.54+37.5% | $1.49-3.2% | $1.94+30.2% |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.1B— | $676M-38.5% | $1.5B+119.5% | $1.6B+9.4% | $2.0B+21.2% |
| Gross Margin | 56.1% | 50.3%-5.8pp | 53.1%+2.8pp | 54.0%+0.9pp | 55.8%+1.8pp |
| Operating Margin | 32.4% | 25.1%-7.3pp | 27.4%+2.2pp | 25.8%-1.6pp | 29.2%+3.4pp |
| Net Margin | 24.9% | 18.9%-6.0pp | 22.8%+4.0pp | 20.1%-2.7pp | 23.0%+2.8pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $95 (last qtr, 6 analysts) → $99 (last mo, 2) (+4.4%).
Buy-rated share 52% → 56% over ~3 months (+4pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $0.53 | $0.58 | +10.1% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.48 | $0.51 | +5.4% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.48 | $0.56 | +17.0% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.48 | $0.52 | +8.2% |
| May 2025 | $0.46 | $0.47 | +2.4% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.40 | $0.38 | -5.0% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.43 | $0.40 | -7.0% |
| Aug 2024 | $0.45 | $0.41 | -8.9% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$16.1M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 6 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 53 for Monster Beverage Corporation indicates a neutral outlook, with the short-term score of 60 diverging from the long-term score of 46. The stock scores high on growth and momentum, driven by strong revenue and earnings growth, as well as a 57% return over the past year. However, it trades at a premium, with a P/E of 46.9, which weighs down its value score. The stock exhibits strong profitability, with an ROE near 25%, but its high valuation keeps the overall QScore in check.