MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (59) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Avg target $112 (last qtr, 8 analysts) → $115 (last mo, 7) (+3.0%).
Buy-rated share 80% → 75% over ~3 months (-5pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $1.36 | $1.44 | +5.9% |
| May 2026 | $0.81 | $0.78 | -3.7% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.00 | $1.04 | +4.0% |
| Nov 2025 | $1.04 | $1.07 | +2.9% |
| Aug 2025 | $1.14 | $1.19 | +4.4% |
| May 2025 | $0.69 | $0.68 | -1.9% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.79 | $0.84 | +6.3% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.83 | $0.85 | +2.4% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $29.5B— | $34.1B+15.5% | $35.6B+4.5% | $37.9B+6.4% | $39.4B+4.1% |
| EPS (dil.) | $0.54— | $1.01+87.0% | $2.02+100.0% | $2.02+0.0% | $2.94+45.5% |
| Free Cash Flow | $145M— | $500M+244.8% | $831M+66.2% | $833M+0.2% | $959M+15.1% |
| Gross Margin | 15.8% | 16.1%+0.3pp | 17.3%+1.1pp | 17.3%-0.0pp | 17.4%+0.2pp |
| Operating Margin | 1.4% | 1.8%+0.3pp | 2.9%+1.1pp | 3.0%+0.1pp | 3.1%+0.2pp |
| Net Margin | 0.6% | 0.8%+0.2pp | 1.4%+0.6pp | 1.3%-0.1pp | 1.7%+0.4pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$12.9M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 5 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 4.8%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $874M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $959M) · equity value $24.3B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 59 for US Foods Holding Corp indicates a moderately attractive stock, driven upwards by strong momentum and decent growth prospects. The company exhibits strong momentum, with a 12-month return of 39.8% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average trend. However, its value score is held back by a P/E of 33.5 and EV/EBITDA of 17.0, indicating a premium valuation, while profitability scores are also subdued due to a relatively low operating margin of 3.2%. The short-term score is notably higher than the long-term score, at 65 versus 53.