MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (56) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $130 avg across 4 analysts.
Buy-rated share 92% → 86% over ~3 months (-7pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $1.60 | $1.59 | -0.6% |
| May 2026 | $0.78 | $0.80 | +3.2% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.07 | $0.98 | -8.4% |
| Nov 2025 | $1.21 | $1.18 | -2.5% |
| Aug 2025 | $1.46 | $1.55 | +6.2% |
| May 2025 | $0.87 | $0.79 | -9.1% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.04 | $0.98 | -5.8% |
| Nov 2024 | $1.22 | $1.16 | -4.9% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $50.9B— | $57.3B+12.5% | $58.3B+1.8% | $63.3B+8.6% | $67.8B+7.2% |
| EPS (dil.) | $0.74— | $2.54+243.2% | $2.79+9.8% | $2.18-21.9% | $2.29+5.0% |
| Free Cash Flow | $61M— | $562M+822.0% | $767M+36.5% | $704M-8.2% | $1.0B+46.2% |
| Gross Margin | 10.3% | 10.9%+0.6pp | 11.3%+0.4pp | 11.7%+0.4pp | 11.9%+0.2pp |
| Operating Margin | 0.6% | 1.3%+0.7pp | 1.4%+0.1pp | 1.3%-0.1pp | 1.3%+0.0pp |
| Net Margin | 0.2% | 0.7%+0.5pp | 0.7%+0.1pp | 0.5%-0.2pp | 0.5%-0.0pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$23.5M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 32 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 5.0%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $834M (avg FY2024–FY2026; latest year $1.0B) · equity value $16.8B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 56 for Performance Food Group Co indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a strong growth profile, with revenue growth of 7.2% and FCF growth of 46.2%, which scores high on the growth category. However, the stock trades at a premium, with a P/E of 46.6, contributing to a lower value score. The company's profitability also exhibits room for improvement, with an ROE of 7.6%, while its risk profile is relatively stable, with a beta of 0.9. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 2-point difference.