MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (55) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $30.4B— | $50.9B+67.4% | $57.3B+12.5% | $58.3B+1.8% | $63.3B+8.6% |
| EPS (dil.) | $0.31— | $0.74+138.7% | $2.54+243.2% | $2.79+9.8% | $2.18-21.9% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$124M— | $61Mn/m | $562M+822.0% | $767M+36.5% | $704M-8.2% |
| Gross Margin | 11.6% | 10.3%-1.3pp | 10.9%+0.6pp | 11.3%+0.4pp | 11.7%+0.4pp |
| Operating Margin | 0.7% | 0.6%-0.0pp | 1.3%+0.7pp | 1.4%+0.1pp | 1.3%-0.1pp |
| Net Margin | 0.1% | 0.2%+0.1pp | 0.7%+0.5pp | 0.7%+0.1pp | 0.5%-0.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $121 (last qtr, 3 analysts) → $125 (last mo, 1) (+3.3%).
Buy-rated share 87% → 86% over ~3 months (-1pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $0.78 | $0.80 | +3.2% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.07 | $0.98 | -8.4% |
| Nov 2025 | $1.21 | $1.18 | -2.5% |
| Aug 2025 | $1.46 | $1.55 | +6.2% |
| May 2025 | $0.87 | $0.79 | -9.1% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.04 | $0.98 | -5.8% |
| Nov 2024 | $1.22 | $1.16 | -4.9% |
| Aug 2024 | $1.37 | $1.45 | +5.8% |
Net insider -$12.9M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 25 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 55 for Performance Food Group Co indicates a moderately positive outlook, driven by strong momentum and low risk factors, with a momentum score of 71 and a risk score of 71. The stock's high 12-month return of 30.6% and recent 3-month surge of 35.7% contribute to its strong momentum. However, the stock trades at a premium, with a P/E of 53.1, and exhibits weak profitability, with an ROE of 7.1%, which weighs on its overall score. The short-term score of 61 diverges from the long-term score of 49, suggesting a recent uptrend.