MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (54) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Net insider -$177.5M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 24 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $38.7B— | $43.0B+11.3% | $45.8B+6.4% | $47.1B+2.9% | $47.9B+1.9% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.25— | $2.19-2.7% | $2.47+12.8% | $2.46-0.4% | $3.04+23.6% |
| Free Cash Flow | $11.3B— | $9.5B-15.3% | $9.7B+2.2% | $4.7B-51.4% | $5.3B+11.7% |
| Gross Margin | 60.3% | 58.1%-2.1pp | 59.5%+1.4pp | 61.1%+1.5pp | 61.6%+0.6pp |
| Operating Margin | 26.7% | 25.4%-1.3pp | 24.7%-0.6pp | 21.2%-3.5pp | 28.7%+7.5pp |
| Net Margin | 25.3% | 22.2%-3.1pp | 23.4%+1.2pp | 22.6%-0.8pp | 27.3%+4.8pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $93 (last qtr, 17 analysts) → $96 (last mo, 12) (+3.0%).
Buy-rated share 76% → 79% over ~3 months (+3pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $0.92 | $0.97 | +5.4% |
| Apr 2026 | $0.81 | $0.86 | +5.9% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.56 | $0.58 | +2.7% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.78 | $0.82 | +5.3% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.83 | $0.87 | +4.3% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.71 | $0.73 | +2.2% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.52 | $0.55 | +6.2% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.74 | $0.77 | +4.1% |
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 3.4%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $6.6B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $5.3B) · equity value $373.1B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 54 for KO suggests a neutral outlook, driven by strong momentum and profitability scores, which are offset by lower value scores. The stock exhibits strong momentum, with a 12-month return of 22.6% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average trend. However, it trades at a premium, with a P/E of 26.0 and P/B of 10.3, contributing to its lower value score. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with the short-term score slightly higher at 57.