MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (56) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-19.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 3.1%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $3.7B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $2.8B) · equity value $69.5B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $106.0B— | $109.1B+2.9% | $107.4B-1.6% | $106.6B-0.8% | $104.8B-1.7% |
| EPS (dil.) | $14.10— | $5.98-57.6% | $8.94+49.5% | $8.86-0.9% | $8.13-8.2% |
| Free Cash Flow | $5.1B— | -$1.5B-129.7% | $3.8Bn/m | $4.5B+17.3% | $2.8B-36.7% |
| Gross Margin | 29.3% | 24.6%-4.7pp | 27.5%+3.0pp | 28.2%+0.7pp | 27.9%-0.3pp |
| Operating Margin | 8.4% | 3.5%-4.9pp | 5.3%+1.8pp | 5.2%-0.1pp | 4.9%-0.3pp |
| Net Margin | 6.6% | 2.5%-4.0pp | 3.9%+1.3pp | 3.8%-0.0pp | 3.5%-0.3pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$19.7M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 7 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $164 avg across 30 analysts.
Buy-rated share 32% → 34% over ~3 months (+3pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $2.35 | $4.11 | +74.9% |
| May 2026 | $1.47 | $1.71 | +16.3% |
| Mar 2026 | $2.16 | $2.44 | +13.0% |
| Nov 2025 | $1.71 | $1.78 | +4.1% |
| Aug 2025 | $2.04 | $2.05 | +0.5% |
| May 2025 | $1.56 | $1.30 | -16.7% |
| Mar 2025 | $2.27 | $2.41 | +6.2% |
| Nov 2024 | $2.30 | $1.85 | -19.6% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 56 for Target Corporation suggests a neutral outlook, with the stock's value and momentum factors driving the score up, while growth and profitability metrics pull it down. The stock trades at a reasonable valuation, with a P/E of 15.8, and exhibits strong momentum, having returned 62.5% over the past year. In contrast, growth scores are hindered by negative revenue and earnings growth, with a notable decline in free cash flow growth of 36.7%. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, indicating a consistent view of the stock's prospects.