MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (53) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $21.1B— | $20.7B-2.0% | $20.5B-0.9% | $20.4B-0.3% | $20.1B-1.5% |
| EPS (dil.) | $1.34— | $3.19+138.1% | $4.57+43.3% | $6.54+43.1% | $4.11-37.2% |
| Free Cash Flow | $8.2B— | $8.1B-2.2% | $9.1B+12.9% | $8.6B-5.3% | $9.1B+5.4% |
| Gross Margin | 66.3% | 68.9%+2.6pp | 69.7%+0.8pp | 70.3%+0.6pp | 86.6%+16.3pp |
| Operating Margin | 54.8% | 57.6%+2.9pp | 56.3%-1.3pp | 55.0%-1.3pp | 74.8%+19.8pp |
| Net Margin | 11.7% | 27.9%+16.1pp | 39.7%+11.8pp | 55.1%+15.4pp | 34.5%-20.6pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$2.4M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 3 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Avg target $72 (last qtr, 6 analysts) → $0 (last mo, 0) (-100.0%).
Buy-rated share 36% → 31% over ~3 months (-5pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $1.25 | $1.32 | +5.6% |
| Jan 2026 | $1.32 | $1.30 | -1.5% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.44 | $1.45 | +0.7% |
| Jul 2025 | $1.39 | $1.44 | +3.6% |
| Apr 2025 | $1.19 | $1.23 | +3.4% |
| Jan 2025 | $1.28 | $1.29 | +0.8% |
| Oct 2024 | $1.35 | $1.38 | +2.2% |
| Jul 2024 | $1.34 | $1.31 | -2.2% |
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
The QScore of 53 for Altria Group indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's score driven up by its strong momentum and profitability, as evidenced by a 12-month return of 25.2% and an operating margin of 50.7%. However, its value and growth scores are lower, due in part to a negative EPS growth rate of -37.2% and a relatively low P/B ratio. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with the short-term score slightly higher at 56, suggesting no significant divergence in the stock's outlook over different time horizons.