MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (48) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $80.1B— | $79.6B-0.7% | $78.6B-1.3% | $81.4B+3.6% | $88.3B+8.5% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.41— | $2.06-14.5% | $6.93+236.4% | $9.66+39.4% | $9.72+0.6% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$7.8B— | -$520Mn/m | $7.7Bn/m | $10.0B+28.8% | $18.0B+80.3% |
| Gross Margin | 54.3% | 54.5%+0.2pp | 61.6%+7.1pp | 63.6%+2.0pp | 47.6%-15.9pp |
| Operating Margin | 8.6% | 8.2%-0.4pp | 18.2%+9.9pp | 22.1%+4.0pp | 21.2%-0.9pp |
| Net Margin | 3.8% | 3.3%-0.5pp | 10.6%+7.3pp | 13.9%+3.3pp | 12.4%-1.5pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $253 (last qtr, 7 analysts) → $255 (last mo, 1) (+1.0%).
Buy-rated share 76% → 86% over ~3 months (+10pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $2.01 | $2.28 | +13.4% |
| Feb 2026 | $2.05 | $1.88 | -8.3% |
| Oct 2025 | $2.40 | $2.59 | +7.9% |
| Jul 2025 | $2.67 | $2.84 | +6.4% |
| Apr 2025 | $2.47 | $2.58 | +4.5% |
| Jan 2025 | $2.29 | $2.57 | +12.2% |
| Oct 2024 | $2.42 | $2.61 | +7.9% |
| Jul 2024 | $2.28 | $2.49 | +9.2% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$152.0M over 180 days (1 open-market buys, 12 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 48 for TMUS indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of factors. The stock scores high on profitability, with a notable ROE of 17.8%, and value, trading at a P/E of 19.4. However, momentum is a drag, with a 12-month return of -20.9% and a bearish moving average trend, while growth is modest, with revenue growth of 8.5% and sluggish EPS growth of 0.5%. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 4-point difference.