MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (52) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net insider -$28K over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 1 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth below the analyst consensus of 18.5%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $71.8B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $73.3B) · equity value $3.38T · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $257.6B— | $282.8B+9.8% | $307.4B+8.7% | $350.0B+13.9% | $402.8B+15.1% |
| EPS (dil.) | $5.61— | $4.56-18.7% | $5.80+27.2% | $8.04+38.6% | $10.81+34.5% |
| Free Cash Flow | $67.0B— | $60.0B-10.4% | $69.5B+15.8% | $72.8B+4.7% | $73.3B+0.7% |
| Gross Margin | 56.9% | 55.4%-1.6pp | 56.6%+1.2pp | 58.2%+1.6pp | 59.7%+1.5pp |
| Operating Margin | 30.6% | 26.5%-4.1pp | 27.4%+1.0pp | 32.1%+4.7pp | 32.0%-0.1pp |
| Net Margin | 29.5% | 21.2%-8.3pp | 24.0%+2.8pp | 28.6%+4.6pp | 32.8%+4.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $411 (last qtr, 21 analysts) → $405 (last mo, 20) (-1.3%).
Buy-rated share 89% → 90% over ~3 months (+1pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $3.01 | $2.12 | -29.6% |
| Jul 2026 | $2.87 | $9.11 | +217.4% |
| Apr 2026 | $2.68 | $5.11 | +90.7% |
| Feb 2026 | $2.63 | $2.82 | +7.2% |
| Oct 2025 | $2.30 | $2.87 | +24.8% |
| Jul 2025 | $2.18 | $2.31 | +6.0% |
| Apr 2025 | $2.02 | $2.81 | +39.1% |
| Feb 2025 | $2.11 | $2.15 | +1.9% |
The QScore of 52 for GOOG indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's strong profitability and moderate risk profile being offset by its relatively low value and momentum scores. GOOG scores high on profitability, driven by its high ROE of 42.6% and operating margin of 33.3%, but trades at a premium with a P/E of 14.3 and P/B of 5.0. The long-term and short-term scores diverge by 6 points, with the short-term score being dragged down by poor momentum, as evidenced by a 12-month return of just 0.3% and a sharply bearish 50-day versus 200-day moving average.