MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (59) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.1B— | $1.1B+4.1% | $1.7B+46.9% | $2.8B+67.4% | $4.7B+68.9% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.09— | $4.66+123.0% | $-0.43-109.2% | $0.05n/m | $2.26+4031.6% |
| Free Cash Flow | $139M— | $489M+251.1% | $420M-14.2% | $508M+21.1% | $1.2B+127.9% |
| Gross Margin | 40.7% | 66.2%+25.4pp | 59.4%-6.7pp | 53.9%-5.5pp | 49.6%-4.3pp |
| Operating Margin | 23.4% | 47.8%+24.4pp | 35.0%-12.8pp | 27.6%-7.4pp | 20.3%-7.3pp |
| Net Margin | 16.2% | 34.0%+17.8pp | -2.1%-36.1pp | 0.3%+2.4pp | 4.1%+3.8pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $231 (last qtr, 3 analysts) → $0 (last mo, 0) (-100.0%).
Buy-rated share 74% → 77% over ~3 months (+3pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $1.11 | $1.12 | +0.9% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.24 | $-0.08 | -133.7% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.59 | $0.50 | -14.7% |
| Aug 2025 | $1.16 | $1.17 | +0.9% |
| May 2025 | $0.61 | $0.69 | +13.3% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.16 | $0.35 | +118.7% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.52 | $0.53 | +2.5% |
| Aug 2024 | $0.87 | $0.72 | -17.2% |
Net insider -$8.7M over 180 days (8 open-market buys, 60 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 59 for TKO Group Holdings indicates a moderately positive outlook, driven primarily by its strong growth profile, with a score of 93 in this category. The company's high revenue and earnings growth rates, including EPS growth of 1916.7%, contribute to its elevated score. However, its value score of 47 is a drag, due to a high P/E of 75.5 and P/B of 4.9, indicating the stock trades at a premium. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 2-point difference.