MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (57) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-08-02.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $10.4B— | $8.0B-22.9% | $8.3B+3.0% | $8.5B+2.4% | $9.0B+6.8% |
| EPS (dil.) | $1.05— | $0.26-75.2% | $0.47+80.8% | $0.81+72.3% | $1.03+27.2% |
| Free Cash Flow | $855M— | $593M-30.6% | $741M+25.0% | $727M-1.9% | $811M+11.6% |
| Gross Margin | 51.1% | 51.5%+0.4pp | 54.2%+2.7pp | 56.2%+2.0pp | 56.9%+0.7pp |
| Operating Margin | 16.2% | 13.6%-2.5pp | 14.8%+1.2pp | 16.7%+1.9pp | 11.4%-5.3pp |
| Net Margin | 6.0% | 1.9%-4.1pp | 3.2%+1.4pp | 5.5%+2.3pp | 6.3%+0.9pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Buy-rated share 88% → 89% over ~3 months (+1pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $0.23 | $0.35 | +50.7% |
| May 2026 | $0.19 | $0.21 | +11.5% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.25 | $0.40 | +60.0% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.19 | $0.22 | +13.5% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.20 | $0.19 | -4.7% |
| May 2025 | $0.14 | $0.17 | +20.6% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.34 | $0.33 | -2.9% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.17 | $0.21 | +24.9% |
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 5.8%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $760M (avg FY2024–FY2026; latest year $811M) · equity value $17.1B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Net insider -$1.2M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 3 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 57 for NWS indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's short-term score slightly exceeding its long-term score. NWS scores high on risk, with a beta of 1.0 and relatively low volatility, but its value and profitability scores are more moderate, driven by a P/E of 30.8 and ROE near 7%. The stock exhibits strong momentum, with a 12-month return of 4.9% and a bullish moving average trend, but its growth score is held back by relatively modest revenue growth of 6.8%.