MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (57) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-12.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.1B— | $2.6B+20.5% | $3.2B+25.2% | $3.7B+13.4% | $4.5B+22.7% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-0.82— | $2.15n/m | $0.79-63.3% | $-0.12-115.2% | $2.15n/m |
| Free Cash Flow | $464M— | $243M-47.6% | $193M-20.6% | $492M+154.9% | $751M+52.6% |
| Gross Margin | 30.3% | 32.0%+1.7pp | 30.5%-1.5pp | 31.9%+1.4pp | 24.9%-6.9pp |
| Operating Margin | 1.9% | 6.7%+4.9pp | 9.2%+2.5pp | 7.9%-1.4pp | 13.5%+5.6pp |
| Net Margin | -8.9% | 21.7%+30.6pp | 5.7%-15.9pp | -0.8%-6.6pp | 12.4%+13.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $120 (last qtr, 5 analysts) → $121 (last mo, 4) (+1.0%).
Buy-rated share 88% → 88% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $0.24 | $0.02 | -91.7% |
| May 2026 | $-0.06 | $0.22 | +466.7% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.40 | $0.39 | -1.6% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.42 | $0.24 | -42.9% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.81 | $1.52 | +87.7% |
| May 2025 | $-0.18 | $0.05 | +127.8% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.42 | $-1.03 | -345.2% |
| Aug 2024 | $0.31 | $0.10 | -67.7% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$28.0M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 4 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 8.6%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $479M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $751M) · equity value $26.1B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 57 for FWONK suggests a moderately attractive investment, driven by strong growth and momentum factors, with a growth score of 74 and momentum score of 63. The stock's high revenue and EPS growth rates, including a notable 1807.7% EPS growth, contribute to its strong growth profile. However, its value score of 45 is weighed down by a high P/E of 51.7, indicating the stock trades at a premium. The short-term score is slightly higher than the long-term score, at 60 versus 54, reflecting the stock's recent momentum, with a 13.2% return over the past three months.