MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (54) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $9.4B— | $10.4B+11.0% | $8.0B-22.9% | $8.3B+3.0% | $8.5B+2.4% |
| EPS (dil.) | $0.56— | $1.05+87.5% | $0.26-75.2% | $0.46+76.9% | $2.07+350.0% |
| Free Cash Flow | $847M— | $855M+0.9% | $593M-30.6% | $602M+1.5% | $727M+20.8% |
| Gross Margin | 100.0% | 100.0%0.0pp | 100.0%0.0pp | 100.0%0.0pp | 100.0%0.0pp |
| Operating Margin | 6.3% | 9.4%+3.1pp | 8.4%-1.0pp | 9.7%+1.3pp | 11.3%+1.6pp |
| Net Margin | 3.5% | 6.0%+2.5pp | 1.9%-4.1pp | 3.2%+1.4pp | 14.0%+10.7pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $32 (last qtr, 2 analysts) → $0 (last mo, 0) (-100.0%).
Buy-rated share 78% → 88% over ~3 months (+10pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $0.16 | $0.21 | +31.2% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.33 | $0.40 | +21.2% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.18 | $0.22 | +22.2% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.19 | $0.19 | +0.0% |
| May 2025 | $0.19 | $0.17 | -10.5% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.29 | $0.33 | +13.8% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.16 | $0.21 | +31.2% |
| Aug 2024 | $0.15 | $0.17 | +13.3% |
No recent open-market insider transactions.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 54 for NWSA suggests a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of factors. The stock scores relatively high on Risk, with a beta of 0.9 and moderate volatility, but lower on Profitability, with an ROE of 4.9% and operating margin of 14.0%. Value is also a concern, as NWSA trades at a premium with a P/E of 38.4, while Momentum exhibits a bullish trend with a 50-day moving average above the 200-day average, despite a -13.6% return over the past year.