MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (56) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-08-02.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Buy-rated share 78% → 88% over ~3 months (+10pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $0.21 | $0.35 | +66.7% |
| May 2026 | $0.16 | $0.21 | +31.2% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.33 | $0.40 | +21.2% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.18 | $0.22 | +22.2% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.19 | $0.19 | +0.0% |
| May 2025 | $0.19 | $0.17 | -10.5% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.29 | $0.33 | +13.8% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.16 | $0.21 | +31.2% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $10.4B— | $8.0B-22.9% | $8.3B+3.0% | $8.5B+2.4% | $9.0B+6.8% |
| EPS (dil.) | $1.05— | $0.26-75.2% | $0.46+76.9% | $2.07+350.0% | $1.03-50.2% |
| Free Cash Flow | $855M— | $593M-30.6% | $602M+1.5% | $727M+20.8% | $811M+11.6% |
| Gross Margin | 100.0% | 100.0%0.0pp | 100.0%0.0pp | 100.0%0.0pp | 56.9%-43.1pp |
| Operating Margin | 9.4% | 8.4%-1.0pp | 9.7%+1.3pp | 11.3%+1.6pp | 11.4%+0.1pp |
| Net Margin | 6.0% | 1.9%-4.1pp | 3.2%+1.4pp | 14.0%+10.7pp | 6.3%-7.6pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
No recent open-market insider transactions.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 5.8%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $713M (avg FY2024–FY2026; latest year $811M) · equity value $16.1B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 56 for NWSA suggests a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of factors. The stock scores high on momentum, with a 12-month return and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average crossover, but is dragged down by lower scores in growth and profitability, due in part to a significant decline in EPS growth. The value category is also a moderate concern, with the stock trading at a P/E of 31.7. Notably, the long-term and short-term scores are relatively close, with only a 5-point difference, indicating a consistent outlook across different time horizons.