MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (57) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Avg target $422 (last qtr, 21 analysts) → $432 (last mo, 3) (+2.2%).
Buy-rated share 90% → 89% over ~3 months (-1pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $2.64 | $5.11 | +93.6% |
| Feb 2026 | $2.57 | $2.82 | +9.7% |
| Oct 2025 | $2.30 | $2.87 | +24.8% |
| Jul 2025 | $2.15 | $2.31 | +7.4% |
| Apr 2025 | $2.02 | $2.81 | +39.1% |
| Feb 2025 | $2.12 | $2.15 | +1.4% |
| Oct 2024 | $1.85 | $2.12 | +14.6% |
| Jul 2024 | $1.84 | $1.89 | +2.7% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $257.6B— | $282.8B+9.8% | $307.4B+8.7% | $350.0B+13.9% | $403.0B+15.1% |
| EPS (dil.) | $5.61— | $4.56-18.7% | $5.80+27.2% | $8.04+38.6% | $10.81+34.5% |
| Free Cash Flow | $67.0B— | $60.0B-10.4% | $69.5B+15.8% | $72.8B+4.7% | $73.3B+0.7% |
| Gross Margin | 56.9% | 55.4%-1.6pp | 56.6%+1.2pp | 58.2%+1.6pp | 59.7%+1.5pp |
| Operating Margin | 30.6% | 26.5%-4.1pp | 27.4%+1.0pp | 32.1%+4.7pp | 32.1%-0.1pp |
| Net Margin | 29.5% | 21.2%-8.3pp | 24.0%+2.8pp | 28.6%+4.6pp | 32.8%+4.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$827K over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 23 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 57 for GOOGL suggests a neutral outlook, driven by strong profitability and momentum, with scores of 72 and 64, respectively. However, the stock's value score of 40 is a drag, due to its premium valuation, with a P/E of 25.5 and P/B of 8.5. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 4-point difference, indicating a consistent view across different time horizons, and the stock exhibits strong momentum, with a 12-month return of 97.7%.