MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (61) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $48.7B— | $50.6B+4.0% | $56.6B+11.8% | $63.5B+12.2% | $66.5B+4.6% |
| EPS (dil.) | $17.25— | $-5.03-129.2% | $-1.20n/m | $16.99n/m | $38.19+124.8% |
| Free Cash Flow | $4.8B— | $4.7B-1.5% | $4.0B-15.7% | $8.7B+120.2% | $9.9B+13.3% |
| Gross Margin | 24.7% | 11.2%-13.5pp | 12.7%+1.5pp | 22.8%+10.2pp | 33.2%+10.4pp |
| Operating Margin | 13.3% | -3.6%-16.9pp | -0.6%+3.0pp | 9.1%+9.7pp | 19.8%+10.7pp |
| Net Margin | 3.3% | -2.5%-5.9pp | -0.3%+2.2pp | 7.3%+7.7pp | 15.5%+8.1pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $268 (last qtr, 1 analysts) → $0 (last mo, 0) (-100.0%).
Buy-rated share 56% → 50% over ~3 months (-6pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $7.31 | $10.65 | +45.7% |
| Feb 2026 | $9.83 | $14.31 | +45.6% |
| Nov 2025 | $7.67 | $11.17 | +45.6% |
| Jul 2025 | $3.25 | $5.94 | +82.8% |
| Apr 2025 | $2.52 | $3.53 | +40.1% |
| Feb 2025 | $5.40 | $7.67 | +42.0% |
| Oct 2024 | $2.36 | $3.91 | +65.7% |
| Jul 2024 | $0.28 | $1.61 | +478.3% |
Net insider -$19.0M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 13 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 61 indicates a neutral outlook for ALL, driven by strong scores in Growth, Momentum, and Profitability, which suggest the company exhibits strong momentum and profitability, with notable EPS growth of 124.6% and an ROE near 43%. However, the Risk category score is relatively low at 46, due to high 60-day volatility of 24.9%. The Value category score is moderate, reflecting a P/E of 5.2, which is relatively low, and the stock's overall valuation is not overly stretched. The long-term and short-term scores are closely aligned, indicating a consistent view of the company's prospects.