MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (60) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.8B— | $2.0B+9.4% | $2.1B+3.9% | $2.3B+9.5% | $2.4B+8.3% |
| EPS (dil.) | $4.89— | $7.49+53.2% | $7.82+4.4% | $8.69+11.1% | $10.17+17.0% |
| Free Cash Flow | $154M— | $196M+27.1% | $281M+43.5% | $326M+15.9% | $356M+9.4% |
| Gross Margin | 42.4% | 44.2%+1.8pp | 46.7%+2.6pp | 47.2%+0.4pp | 49.5%+2.3pp |
| Operating Margin | 13.2% | 15.9%+2.7pp | 17.1%+1.2pp | 17.3%+0.3pp | 19.3%+2.0pp |
| Net Margin | 9.2% | 12.7%+3.5pp | 12.7%+0.0pp | 12.9%+0.2pp | 14.0%+1.0pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $346 (last qtr, 6 analysts) → $0 (last mo, 0) (-100.0%).
Buy-rated share 17% → 17% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $2.70 | $3.04 | +12.6% |
| Feb 2026 | $2.36 | $2.62 | +11.0% |
| Nov 2025 | $2.26 | $2.50 | +10.6% |
| Aug 2025 | $2.68 | $3.09 | +15.3% |
| May 2025 | $2.12 | $2.37 | +11.8% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.91 | $2.05 | +7.3% |
| Oct 2024 | $1.99 | $2.03 | +2.0% |
| Aug 2024 | $2.33 | $2.46 | +5.6% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$11.4M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 14 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 60 for Watts Water Technologies indicates a moderately attractive stock, with the short-term score of 62 being slightly higher than the long-term score of 57. The stock scores high on momentum, with a 12-month return of 47.2% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average. However, it trades at a premium, as reflected in its value score of 52, driven by a P/E of 32.8 and P/B of 5.7. The stock exhibits strong profitability, with an ROE of 18.4% and gross margin of 49.2%.