MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (59) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Avg target $389 (last qtr, 10 analysts) → $396 (last mo, 7) (+1.9%).
Buy-rated share 17% → 25% over ~3 months (+8pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $3.33 | $3.66 | +9.9% |
| May 2026 | $2.70 | $3.04 | +12.6% |
| Feb 2026 | $2.36 | $2.62 | +11.0% |
| Nov 2025 | $2.26 | $2.50 | +10.6% |
| Aug 2025 | $2.68 | $3.09 | +15.3% |
| May 2025 | $2.12 | $2.37 | +11.8% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.91 | $2.05 | +7.3% |
| Oct 2024 | $1.99 | $2.03 | +2.0% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.8B— | $2.0B+9.4% | $2.1B+3.9% | $2.3B+9.5% | $2.4B+8.3% |
| EPS (dil.) | $4.89— | $7.49+53.2% | $7.82+4.4% | $8.69+11.1% | $10.17+17.0% |
| Free Cash Flow | $154M— | $196M+27.1% | $281M+43.5% | $326M+15.9% | $356M+9.4% |
| Gross Margin | 42.4% | 44.2%+1.8pp | 46.7%+2.6pp | 47.2%+0.4pp | 49.5%+2.3pp |
| Operating Margin | 13.2% | 15.9%+2.7pp | 17.1%+1.2pp | 17.3%+0.3pp | 19.3%+2.0pp |
| Net Margin | 9.2% | 12.7%+3.5pp | 12.7%+0.0pp | 12.9%+0.2pp | 14.0%+1.0pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$11.4M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 14 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 5.6%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $321M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $356M) · equity value $12.8B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 59 for Watts Water Technologies indicates a moderately attractive stock, with the short-term score of 62 being slightly higher than the long-term score of 56. The stock scores high on momentum, driven by a 40.7% return over the past year and a bullish moving average trend. In contrast, value is a relative weakness, with the stock trading at a P/E of 33.5 and P/B of 5.9, while growth and profitability metrics are around average, with revenue growth of 8.3% and ROE near 19%.