MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (58) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
The QScore of 58 for AMETEK indicates a moderately favorable outlook, driven by strong momentum and risk profiles, with scores of 57 and 77, respectively. The stock's momentum is fueled by a 33.4% return over the past year and a bullish moving average trend. However, its value score is dragged down by a P/E of 35.8, indicating a premium valuation. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 3-point difference, suggesting a consistent view across different time horizons.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.5B— | $6.2B+10.9% | $6.6B+7.3% | $6.9B+5.2% | $7.4B+6.6% |
| EPS (dil.) | $4.25— | $5.01+17.9% | $5.67+13.2% | $5.93+4.6% | $6.40+7.9% |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.0B— | $1.0B-3.8% | $1.6B+58.3% | $1.7B+6.4% | $1.7B-1.8% |
| Gross Margin | 34.5% | 34.9%+0.4pp | 36.1%+1.3pp | 35.7%-0.5pp | 36.4%+0.7pp |
| Operating Margin | 23.6% | 24.4%+0.8pp | 25.9%+1.5pp | 25.6%-0.2pp | 26.2%+0.5pp |
| Net Margin | 17.9% | 18.9%+1.0pp | 19.9%+1.1pp | 19.8%-0.1pp | 20.0%+0.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Avg target $256 (last qtr, 6 analysts) → $265 (last mo, 1) (+3.4%).
Buy-rated share 70% → 67% over ~3 months (-3pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $1.90 | $1.97 | +3.7% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.94 | $2.01 | +3.6% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.76 | $1.89 | +7.4% |
| Jul 2025 | $1.69 | $1.78 | +5.3% |
| May 2025 | $1.69 | $1.75 | +3.6% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.85 | $1.87 | +1.1% |
| Oct 2024 | $1.62 | $1.66 | +2.5% |
| Aug 2024 | $1.64 | $1.66 | +1.2% |
Net insider -$115K over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 1 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.