MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (51) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 6.9%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $129M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $334M) · equity value $22.4B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$56.1M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 38 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.8B— | $3.8B+37.0% | $4.2B+8.8% | $4.4B+4.5% | $4.6B+5.2% |
| EPS (dil.) | $1.31— | $2.23+70.2% | $2.81+26.0% | $2.55-9.3% | $2.85+11.8% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$137M— | $94Mn/m | -$115M-222.1% | $168Mn/m | $334M+98.5% |
| Gross Margin | 11.9% | 18.6%+6.7pp | 19.8%+1.2pp | 20.9%+1.1pp | 21.8%+0.9pp |
| Operating Margin | 4.2% | 8.2%+4.0pp | 11.2%+2.9pp | 14.0%+2.8pp | 13.8%-0.1pp |
| Net Margin | 6.6% | 8.4%+1.8pp | 9.8%+1.4pp | 8.4%-1.4pp | 8.8%+0.4pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $258 avg across 5 analysts.
Buy-rated share 100% → 100% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $1.37 | $1.46 | +6.6% |
| Aug 2026 | $1.03 | $1.23 | +19.4% |
| Apr 2026 | $0.88 | $1.00 | +14.0% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.89 | $0.93 | +4.5% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.73 | $0.85 | +16.0% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.72 | $0.74 | +2.8% |
| May 2025 | $0.58 | $0.72 | +24.1% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.60 | $0.79 | +31.7% |
The QScore of 51 for ATI Inc. suggests a neutral outlook, with the stock's short-term score slightly exceeding its long-term score. ATI scores high on momentum, driven by its +59.7% return over the past year, but is held back by its value category due to a P/E of 40.4 and P/B of 11.2, indicating a premium valuation. The stock exhibits strong growth in free cash flow, with a 98.5% increase, and solid profitability metrics, including an ROE of 29.8%.