MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (57) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Buy-rated share 67% → 100% over ~3 months (+33pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $1.08 | $1.00 | -7.4% |
| Jul 2026 | $1.09 | $1.13 | +3.7% |
| Apr 2026 | $0.75 | $1.08 | +44.4% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.83 | $0.69 | -17.4% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.99 | $0.94 | -5.5% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.82 | $0.98 | +18.8% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.66 | $0.69 | +5.3% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.56 | $0.61 | +8.9% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.8B— | $4.0B+5.7% | $3.4B-14.1% | $3.8B+10.2% | $4.2B+10.9% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.06— | $2.91+40.9% | $2.65-8.9% | $2.66+0.4% | $3.43+28.9% |
| Free Cash Flow | $280M— | $686M+145.2% | $619M-9.8% | $566M-8.6% | $687M+21.4% |
| Gross Margin | 22.0% | 28.1%+6.0pp | 28.9%+0.8pp | 27.7%-1.1pp | 27.4%-0.3pp |
| Operating Margin | 17.4% | 22.0%+4.6pp | 22.1%+0.1pp | 20.4%-1.7pp | 21.4%+1.0pp |
| Net Margin | 12.4% | 16.5%+4.1pp | 17.6%+1.1pp | 16.0%-1.6pp | 18.3%+2.3pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth below the analyst consensus of 5.1%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $624M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $687M) · equity value $11.9B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Net insider -$29.8M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 8 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 57 for Mueller Industries indicates a moderately attractive stock, driven by strong value and profitability scores, with a value score of 64 due to its relatively low P/E of 13.7 and high ROE near 27%. The stock's growth score of 54 also contributes to its overall score, supported by revenue growth of 10.9% and EPS growth of 28.7%. However, momentum is a drag, with the stock exhibiting weak price action over the past year, including a 12-month return of just 4.0% and a recent 3-month decline of 18.2%. The long-term and short-term scores are somewhat divergent, with the long-term score 7 points higher.