MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (59) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Buy-rated share 100% → 50% over ~3 months (-50pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $1.50 | $2.16 | +44.0% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.67 | $1.39 | -16.8% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.67 | $1.88 | +12.6% |
| Jul 2025 | $1.65 | $1.96 | +18.8% |
| Apr 2025 | $1.31 | $1.39 | +6.1% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.12 | $1.21 | +8.0% |
| Oct 2024 | $1.32 | $1.48 | +12.1% |
| Jul 2024 | $1.29 | $1.41 | +9.3% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.8B— | $4.0B+5.7% | $3.4B-14.1% | $3.8B+10.2% | $4.2B+10.9% |
| EPS (dil.) | $4.13— | $5.82+40.9% | $5.30-8.9% | $5.32+0.4% | $6.86+28.9% |
| Free Cash Flow | $280M— | $686M+145.2% | $619M-9.8% | $566M-8.6% | $687M+21.4% |
| Gross Margin | 22.0% | 28.1%+6.0pp | 28.9%+0.8pp | 27.7%-1.1pp | 27.4%-0.3pp |
| Operating Margin | 17.4% | 22.0%+4.6pp | 22.1%+0.1pp | 20.4%-1.7pp | 21.4%+1.0pp |
| Net Margin | 12.4% | 16.5%+4.1pp | 17.6%+1.1pp | 16.0%-1.6pp | 18.3%+2.3pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$15.1M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 4 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 59 for Mueller Industries indicates a relatively neutral outlook, with the long-term score slightly outpacing the short-term score. The stock scores high on profitability, with a notable ROE of 28.7%, and exhibits strong momentum, having returned 66.1% over the past year. However, its growth and value categories are more moderate, with a P/E of 16.5 and revenue growth of 10.9%, suggesting the stock trades at a reasonable multiple. Overall, the company's financials are solid, but the QScore reflects a balance of positive and neutral factors.