MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (60) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Avg target $340 (last qtr, 2 analysts) → $335 (last mo, 1) (-1.5%).
Buy-rated share 55% → 50% over ~3 months (-5pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $2.82 | $2.86 | +1.4% |
| Feb 2026 | $2.37 | $2.37 | +0.0% |
| Dec 2025 | $2.93 | $3.03 | +3.4% |
| Aug 2025 | $2.64 | $2.73 | +3.4% |
| May 2025 | $2.36 | $2.42 | +2.5% |
| Feb 2025 | $2.09 | $2.06 | -1.4% |
| Dec 2024 | $2.59 | $2.78 | +7.3% |
| Aug 2024 | $2.33 | $2.41 | +3.4% |
Net insider -$22.6M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 46 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.4B— | $2.6B+9.7% | $2.6B+1.5% | $2.7B+2.3% | $2.8B+3.8% |
| EPS (dil.) | $7.74— | $8.81+13.8% | $8.46-4.0% | $8.11-4.1% | $8.51+4.9% |
| Free Cash Flow | $508M— | $462M-9.0% | $607M+31.4% | $492M-18.9% | $661M+34.4% |
| Gross Margin | 56.1% | 55.1%-1.0pp | 54.2%-0.8pp | 55.2%+1.0pp | 55.2%-0.1pp |
| Operating Margin | 26.0% | 27.1%+1.1pp | 25.6%-1.5pp | 25.1%-0.5pp | 25.9%+0.9pp |
| Net Margin | 19.2% | 19.8%+0.6pp | 18.5%-1.3pp | 17.4%-1.2pp | 17.4%-0.0pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
NDSN's QScore of 60 indicates a moderately attractive stock, driven by its strong profitability and low risk profile. The stock scores high on profitability, with a return on equity near 17%, and exhibits low risk, with a beta of 1.0. In contrast, its value and growth scores are relatively lower, as it trades at a premium with a P/E of 32.0 and has modest revenue growth of 3.8%. The short-term score is slightly higher than the long-term score, suggesting some recent momentum, with a 12-month return of 41.7%.