MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (61) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.9B— | $3.0B+6.5% | $3.3B+9.3% | $3.6B+8.7% | $3.9B+7.0% |
| EPS (dil.) | $4.87— | $4.83-0.8% | $5.34+10.6% | $6.40+19.9% | $7.33+14.5% |
| Free Cash Flow | $164M— | $107M-34.7% | -$37M-134.8% | $46Mn/m | $128M+177.1% |
| Gross Margin | 24.5% | 24.5%+0.1pp | 24.4%-0.1pp | 27.6%+3.2pp | 27.4%-0.2pp |
| Operating Margin | 8.3% | 8.7%+0.4pp | 9.4%+0.8pp | 10.8%+1.3pp | 10.6%-0.2pp |
| Net Margin | 5.5% | 5.1%-0.4pp | 5.2%+0.0pp | 5.7%+0.6pp | 6.1%+0.3pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $0 (last qtr, 0 analysts) → $0 (last mo, 0).
Buy-rated share 75% → 75% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $2.36 | $2.64 | +11.9% |
| Jan 2026 | $2.21 | $2.63 | +19.0% |
| Nov 2025 | $2.22 | $2.56 | +15.3% |
| Jul 2025 | $2.22 | $1.86 | -16.2% |
| Apr 2025 | $1.78 | $1.92 | +7.9% |
| Jan 2025 | $1.71 | $1.78 | +4.1% |
| Nov 2024 | $1.77 | $2.16 | +22.0% |
| Aug 2024 | $1.77 | $1.91 | +7.9% |
No recent open-market insider transactions.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 61 for MOG-A indicates a moderately favorable outlook, driven by strong momentum with a 12-month return of 139.8% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average. The stock's growth score is also a positive factor, supported by revenue growth of 7.0% and EPS growth of 14.5%. However, the value score is a drag due to a high P/E of 47.3 and P/B of 6.4, indicating the stock trades at a premium. The short-term score of 67 diverges from the long-term score of 54, suggesting recent performance has been particularly strong.