MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (61) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.9B— | $3.0B+6.5% | $3.3B+9.3% | $3.6B+8.7% | $3.9B+7.0% |
| EPS (dil.) | $4.87— | $4.83-0.8% | $5.34+10.6% | $6.40+19.9% | $7.33+14.5% |
| Free Cash Flow | $164M— | $107M-34.7% | -$37M-134.8% | $46Mn/m | $128M+177.1% |
| Gross Margin | 24.5% | 24.5%+0.1pp | 24.4%-0.1pp | 27.6%+3.2pp | 27.4%-0.2pp |
| Operating Margin | 8.3% | 8.7%+0.4pp | 9.4%+0.8pp | 10.8%+1.3pp | 10.6%-0.2pp |
| Net Margin | 5.5% | 5.1%-0.4pp | 5.2%+0.0pp | 5.7%+0.6pp | 6.1%+0.3pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Buy-rated share 75% → 80% over ~3 months (+5pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $2.66 | $3.72 | +39.8% |
| Apr 2026 | $2.36 | $2.64 | +11.9% |
| Jan 2026 | $2.21 | $2.63 | +19.0% |
| Nov 2025 | $2.22 | $2.56 | +15.3% |
| Jul 2025 | $2.22 | $1.86 | -16.2% |
| Apr 2025 | $1.78 | $1.92 | +7.9% |
| Jan 2025 | $1.71 | $1.78 | +4.1% |
| Nov 2024 | $1.77 | $2.16 | +22.0% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
No recent open-market insider transactions.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 9.0%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $46M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $128M) · equity value $13.6B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 61 for Moog Inc. indicates a moderately positive outlook, driven by strong momentum with a 12-month return of 118.7% and a 3-month return of 38.0%. The stock's growth and risk profiles also contribute to its score, with revenue growth of 7.0% and a beta of 1.0. However, its value score is weighed down by a P/E of 35.9 and P/B of 6.1, indicating a premium valuation. The short-term score of 66 diverges from the long-term score of 56, suggesting recent performance is outpacing its long-term prospects.