MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (46) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $10.6B— | $11.0B+3.2% | $10.9B-0.5% | $10.5B-3.7% | $11.9B+13.8% |
| EPS (dil.) | $1.24— | $1.67+34.7% | $2.60+55.7% | $1.82-30.0% | $2.14+17.6% |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.7B— | $2.6B-3.4% | $3.4B+29.4% | $2.4B-28.8% | $1.0B-58.1% |
| Gross Margin | 44.7% | 50.2%+5.4pp | 62.4%+12.2pp | 58.7%-3.6pp | 42.9%-15.8pp |
| Operating Margin | 24.8% | 27.5%+2.8pp | 39.5%+12.0pp | 31.8%-7.7pp | 36.8%+5.0pp |
| Net Margin | 14.3% | 18.7%+4.4pp | 29.1%+10.5pp | 21.2%-8.0pp | 21.9%+0.7pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$9.2M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 14 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Avg target $87 (last qtr, 9 analysts) → $89 (last mo, 4) (+1.9%).
Buy-rated share 81% → 83% over ~3 months (+3pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $0.50 | $0.50 | -0.4% |
| May 2026 | $0.63 | $0.73 | +15.1% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.57 | $0.55 | -4.0% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.52 | $0.49 | -5.0% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.48 | $0.46 | -4.2% |
| May 2025 | $0.57 | $0.60 | +5.8% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.47 | $0.47 | +0.0% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.42 | $0.43 | +2.6% |
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 3.6%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $2.3B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $1.0B) · equity value $89.6B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 46 for WMB indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of factors. The stock scores high on profitability, with an ROE of 23.9%, and exhibits strong momentum, having returned 26.9% over the past year. However, it trades at a premium, with a P/E of 29.1, which weighs down its value score. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with the short-term score slightly higher at 48, suggesting a stable near-term outlook.