MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (56) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.8B— | $8.3B+43.3% | $4.3B-48.4% | $4.1B-3.7% | $5.0B+21.7% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-0.61— | $5.69n/m | $0.64-88.8% | $0.18-71.9% | $2.03+1027.8% |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.5B— | $2.9B+86.9% | $827M-71.4% | $747M-9.7% | $1.2B+66.3% |
| Gross Margin | 38.9% | 55.3%+16.4pp | 14.3%-41.0pp | 7.9%-6.4pp | 22.1%+14.2pp |
| Operating Margin | 0.4% | 30.6%+30.2pp | 9.3%-21.3pp | 1.3%-8.0pp | 16.5%+15.3pp |
| Net Margin | -3.2% | 22.6%+25.8pp | 4.6%-17.9pp | 1.4%-3.2pp | 12.7%+11.3pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$8.9M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 4 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth below the analyst consensus of 1.0%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $939M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $1.2B) · equity value $12.9B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Avg target $52 (last qtr, 11 analysts) → $51 (last mo, 6) (-3.1%).
Buy-rated share 70% → 68% over ~3 months (-2pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $0.97 | $1.19 | +22.3% |
| Jul 2026 | $0.83 | $0.76 | -9.0% |
| Apr 2026 | $1.17 | $1.15 | -1.7% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.50 | $0.42 | -16.5% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.22 | $0.15 | -31.8% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.42 | $0.35 | -16.5% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.83 | $0.78 | -6.5% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.40 | $0.58 | +45.0% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 56 for Antero Resources indicates a neutral outlook, driven by strong growth and momentum scores, which are offset by lower profitability and risk scores. The stock scores high on growth, with notable revenue and EPS growth of 21.7% and 1038.9%, respectively, and exhibits strong momentum with a 12-month return of 32.3%. In contrast, its profitability score is dragged down by a relatively modest ROE of 16.9%, while its risk score is impacted by high volatility. The long-term and short-term scores are closely aligned, suggesting a consistent outlook.