MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (54) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Avg target $94 (last qtr, 4 analysts) → $96 (last mo, 3) (+2.1%).
Buy-rated share 52% → 39% over ~3 months (-13pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $1.46 | $1.53 | +4.8% |
| Apr 2026 | $1.30 | $1.23 | -5.4% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.50 | $1.55 | +3.3% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.44 | $1.49 | +3.5% |
| Aug 2025 | $1.33 | $1.34 | +0.8% |
| Apr 2025 | $1.24 | $1.04 | -16.1% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.46 | $1.57 | +7.5% |
| Oct 2024 | $1.23 | $1.18 | -4.1% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $17.3B— | $22.9B+32.4% | $17.7B-22.7% | $21.6B+22.4% | $33.6B+55.4% |
| EPS (dil.) | $3.35— | $3.84+14.6% | $5.48+42.7% | $5.17-5.7% | $5.42+4.8% |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.8B— | $1.7B-7.9% | $2.8B+65.9% | $2.9B+1.5% | $2.4B-14.6% |
| Gross Margin | 17.5% | 13.6%-3.8pp | 32.5%+18.9pp | 23.3%-9.2pp | 21.5%-1.9pp |
| Operating Margin | 16.5% | 13.3%-3.3pp | 23.0%+9.8pp | 23.2%+0.2pp | 20.7%-2.5pp |
| Net Margin | 8.7% | 7.5%-1.2pp | 15.0%+7.5pp | 14.0%-1.0pp | 10.1%-3.9pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
No recent open-market insider transactions.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of -3.2%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $2.7B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $2.4B) · equity value $59.6B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 54 for ONEOK indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of factors. The stock scores high on growth and momentum, with notable revenue growth of 55.4% and a 12-month return of 25.5%. However, it is held back by lower profitability scores, with an ROE of 16.3% and operating margin of 18.5%. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 4-point difference, suggesting a consistent view across different time horizons.