MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (58) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net insider $877K over 180 days (7 open-market buys, 0 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.3B— | $11.4B+56.7% | $7.8B-32.1% | $4.2B-45.7% | $11.6B+176.0% |
| EPS (dil.) | $53.66— | $33.36-37.8% | $16.92-49.3% | $-4.55-126.9% | $7.57n/m |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.1B— | $2.3B+118.6% | $551M-76.1% | $8M-98.5% | $1.8B+22887.5% |
| Gross Margin | 33.1% | 71.3%+38.1pp | 64.8%-6.5pp | 27.0%-37.8pp | 46.5%+19.5pp |
| Operating Margin | 31.8% | 33.0%+1.2pp | 40.4%+7.4pp | -19.0%-59.4pp | 17.5%+36.5pp |
| Net Margin | 86.7% | 43.1%-43.5pp | 31.1%-12.0pp | -16.9%-48.0pp | 15.6%+32.5pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $127 (last qtr, 3 analysts) → $0 (last mo, 0) (-100.0%).
Buy-rated share 89% → 77% over ~3 months (-12pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $3.69 | $3.83 | +3.8% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.87 | $2.00 | +7.0% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.90 | $0.97 | +8.0% |
| Jul 2025 | $1.14 | $1.10 | -3.5% |
| Apr 2025 | $1.91 | $2.02 | +5.8% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.52 | $0.55 | +5.8% |
| Oct 2024 | $-0.05 | $0.16 | +413.9% |
| Jul 2024 | $-0.01 | $-1.73 | -15575.8% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 58 for EXE suggests a moderately attractive investment, driven by strong growth scores, with revenue and EPS growth exceeding 175% and 265%, respectively. However, momentum scores are weak, with a 12-month return of -25.7% and a bearish moving average trend. The long-term score of 64 is notably higher than the short-term score of 52, indicating a potential divergence in the stock's near-term and long-term prospects. EXE trades at a relatively low P/E of 6.5, but exhibits strong profitability, with an ROE of 17.4% and an operating margin of 29.0%.