MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (46) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net insider -$67.9M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 38 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 46 for VRT suggests a mixed outlook, with the stock's high growth and momentum offset by its premium valuation and high risk profile. The stock scores high on growth, driven by strong revenue and earnings growth, and exhibits strong momentum with a 12-month return of 149.9%. However, it trades at a significant premium, with a P/E of 74.5, and scores low on value and risk due to its high beta and volatility. The short-term score is slightly higher than the long-term score, indicating some near-term optimism.
Avg target $377 (last qtr, 16 analysts) → $416 (last mo, 1) (+10.3%).
Buy-rated share 85% → 82% over ~3 months (-3pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $1.00 | $1.17 | +17.0% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.29 | $1.36 | +5.4% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.98 | $1.24 | +26.0% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.83 | $0.95 | +14.2% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.61 | $0.64 | +4.1% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.82 | $0.99 | +20.7% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.69 | $0.76 | +10.3% |
| Jul 2024 | $0.57 | $0.67 | +17.1% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.0B— | $5.7B+13.9% | $6.9B+20.6% | $8.0B+16.7% | $10.2B+27.7% |
| EPS (dil.) | $0.34— | $-0.04-111.1% | $1.19n/m | $1.28+7.6% | $3.41+166.4% |
| Free Cash Flow | $126M— | -$264M-308.9% | $766Mn/m | $1.1B+48.2% | $1.9B+66.8% |
| Gross Margin | 27.6% | 24.6%-3.0pp | 32.3%+7.7pp | 34.4%+2.0pp | 34.4%-0.0pp |
| Operating Margin | 5.4% | 3.9%-1.5pp | 13.2%+9.3pp | 17.2%+4.0pp | 18.5%+1.3pp |
| Net Margin | 2.4% | 1.3%-1.0pp | 6.7%+5.4pp | 6.2%-0.5pp | 13.0%+6.8pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.