MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (60) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Avg target $45 (last qtr, 2 analysts) → $0 (last mo, 0) (-100.0%).
Buy-rated share 43% → 43% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $1.65 | $2.24 | +35.8% |
| Jan 2026 | $1.28 | $1.85 | +44.5% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.89 | $1.05 | +17.8% |
| Jul 2025 | $1.36 | $1.53 | +12.5% |
| Apr 2025 | $1.19 | $1.30 | +9.2% |
| Jan 2025 | $0.86 | $1.14 | +32.6% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.79 | $0.82 | +3.8% |
| Jul 2024 | $0.60 | $0.83 | +38.3% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.8B— | $2.4B-15.9% | $2.3B-3.0% | $2.9B+25.4% | $3.6B+26.2% |
| EPS (dil.) | $3.91— | $2.44-37.6% | $1.42-41.8% | $2.97+109.2% | $5.13+72.7% |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.1B— | $680M-40.8% | $416M-38.8% | $545M+31.0% | $455M-16.5% |
| Gross Margin | 60.1% | 57.3%-2.8pp | 60.7%+3.4pp | 61.4%+0.8pp | 48.0%-13.5pp |
| Operating Margin | 44.5% | 38.8%-5.7pp | 40.7%+1.9pp | 45.8%+5.1pp | 33.8%-12.0pp |
| Net Margin | 17.0% | 11.2%-5.8pp | 6.2%-5.0pp | 9.6%+3.4pp | 12.9%+3.3pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$13.4M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 15 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 60 for Virtu Financial indicates a moderately attractive stock, driven by strong momentum and growth scores, with the latter boosted by revenue growth of 26.2% and EPS growth of 72.5%. The stock's value score is more neutral, reflecting a P/E of 9.3, which is relatively low. The short-term score is slightly higher than the long-term score, suggesting some near-term tailwinds, with the stock exhibiting strong momentum, up 32.9% over the past year and 36.8% over the past quarter.