MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (55) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $17.4B— | $21.7B+24.3% | $15.6B-28.0% | $16.6B+6.5% | $17.1B+3.1% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-0.07— | $3.88n/m | $3.66-5.6% | $5.74+56.6% | $8.52+48.4% |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.8B— | $1.0B-41.8% | $826M-21.1% | $684M-17.2% | $584M-14.6% |
| Gross Margin | 12.0% | 12.9%+0.9pp | 16.2%+3.3pp | 20.0%+3.8pp | 26.5%+6.5pp |
| Operating Margin | 10.4% | 11.5%+1.0pp | 14.0%+2.5pp | 17.7%+3.7pp | 20.1%+2.4pp |
| Net Margin | 0.4% | 5.3%+4.9pp | 5.3%+0.0pp | 7.6%+2.3pp | 10.8%+3.1pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $280 (last qtr, 12 analysts) → $292 (last mo, 2) (+4.3%).
Buy-rated share 91% → 87% over ~3 months (-4pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $2.48 | $2.21 | -10.9% |
| Feb 2026 | $2.30 | $2.51 | +9.1% |
| Nov 2025 | $2.11 | $2.20 | +4.3% |
| Aug 2025 | $1.86 | $2.87 | +54.3% |
| May 2025 | $1.98 | $0.91 | -54.0% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.92 | $1.44 | -25.0% |
| Nov 2024 | $1.56 | $1.75 | +12.2% |
| Aug 2024 | $1.27 | $1.33 | +4.7% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$28.2M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 14 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 55 for TRGP indicates a moderately positive outlook, driven by strong momentum and profitability scores of 72 and 57, respectively. The stock's momentum is fueled by a 12-month return of nearly 60% and a bullish moving average trend. However, the value score of 33 is a notable drag, reflecting a P/E of 27.6 and EV/EBITDA of 15.6, indicating the stock trades at a premium. The short-term score of 61 diverges from the long-term score of 50, suggesting recent performance has been stronger than the company's overall fundamentals.