MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (56) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.1B— | $4.5B+8.8% | $4.8B+6.1% | $4.6B-4.1% | $4.6B+0.2% |
| EPS (dil.) | $4.79— | $5.48+14.4% | $5.47-0.2% | $4.99-8.8% | $4.11-17.6% |
| Free Cash Flow | $239M— | $285M+19.4% | $357M+25.2% | $306M-14.5% | $406M+32.8% |
| Gross Margin | 28.0% | 29.9%+1.9pp | 32.0%+2.1pp | 31.6%-0.3pp | 28.7%-2.9pp |
| Operating Margin | 12.4% | 13.5%+1.1pp | 13.8%+0.3pp | 13.4%-0.4pp | 12.4%-1.0pp |
| Net Margin | 8.9% | 9.1%+0.1pp | 8.3%-0.8pp | 7.7%-0.6pp | 6.3%-1.4pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $134 (last qtr, 10 analysts) → $147 (last mo, 1) (+9.6%).
Buy-rated share 36% → 50% over ~3 months (+14pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $1.50 | $1.67 | +11.3% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.09 | $1.14 | +4.6% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.25 | $1.37 | +9.6% |
| Jul 2025 | $1.34 | $1.42 | +6.0% |
| Apr 2025 | $1.43 | $1.40 | -2.1% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.08 | $1.16 | +7.4% |
| Nov 2024 | $1.38 | $1.23 | -10.9% |
| Jul 2024 | $1.60 | $1.63 | +1.9% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$11.7M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 8 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 56 for TKR indicates a moderately positive outlook, driven by strong momentum with a 12-month return of 93.3% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average. The stock's value score is also relatively high at 58, despite trading at a P/E of 32.0, while its growth and profitability scores are lower at 42 and 44, respectively, due to negative EPS growth and modest ROE of 9.8%. The short-term score of 60 is notably higher than the long-term score of 53, suggesting recent performance is outpacing longer-term trends.