MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (58) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-12.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.6B— | $4.8B+5.2% | $5.1B+5.5% | $5.1B+0.0% | $5.2B+0.9% |
| EPS (dil.) | $14.92— | $16.82+12.7% | $18.76+11.5% | $19.51+4.0% | $19.19-1.6% |
| Free Cash Flow | $897M— | $591M-34.1% | $1.1B+79.2% | $1.1B+7.1% | $1.0B-11.3% |
| Gross Margin | 51.8% | 50.5%-1.2pp | 51.3%+0.7pp | 52.0%+0.7pp | 51.7%-0.2pp |
| Operating Margin | 24.3% | 24.9%+0.6pp | 25.7%+0.7pp | 26.3%+0.7pp | 25.8%-0.6pp |
| Net Margin | 17.8% | 18.8%+1.0pp | 19.8%+1.0pp | 20.4%+0.6pp | 19.7%-0.7pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $445 (last qtr, 4 analysts) → $454 (last mo, 3) (+1.9%).
Buy-rated share 45% → 45% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $4.95 | $4.96 | +0.2% |
| Apr 2026 | $4.75 | $4.69 | -1.3% |
| Feb 2026 | $4.93 | $4.94 | +0.2% |
| Oct 2025 | $4.64 | $4.71 | +1.5% |
| Jul 2025 | $4.63 | $4.72 | +1.9% |
| Apr 2025 | $4.81 | $4.51 | -6.2% |
| Feb 2025 | $4.78 | $4.82 | +0.8% |
| Oct 2024 | $4.59 | $4.70 | +2.4% |
Net insider -$32.7M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 38 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 4.0%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $1.1B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $1.0B) · equity value $20.9B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 58 for Snap-on Incorporated suggests a neutral outlook, with the stock's strengths and weaknesses balancing out. The company scores high on profitability, with a robust ROE of 17.4% and operating margin of 23.8%, and also exhibits low risk, with a beta of 0.7. However, its growth prospects are a concern, with revenue and EPS growth coming in at 0.9% and -1.7%, respectively. The stock's value is relatively fair, trading at a P/E of 20.3, and its momentum is moderate, with a 24% return over the past year.