MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (59) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $13.0B— | $15.2B+16.9% | $16.5B+8.2% | $17.2B+4.2% | $17.9B+4.5% |
| EPS (dil.) | $19.98— | $30.27+51.5% | $36.51+20.6% | $38.71+6.0% | $35.40-8.6% |
| Free Cash Flow | $682M— | $1.1B+57.9% | $1.6B+47.3% | $1.6B-1.0% | $1.3B-15.2% |
| Gross Margin | 36.2% | 38.4%+2.2pp | 39.4%+1.0pp | 39.0%-0.5pp | 39.1%+0.1pp |
| Operating Margin | 11.9% | 14.5%+2.7pp | 15.6%+1.0pp | 15.4%-0.2pp | 15.0%-0.4pp |
| Net Margin | 8.0% | 10.2%+2.1pp | 11.1%+0.9pp | 11.1%+0.0pp | 9.5%-1.6pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 7.3%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $1.5B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $1.3B) · equity value $63.7B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$3.2M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 15 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $1317 avg across 7 analysts.
Buy-rated share 19% → 20% over ~3 months (+1pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $11.30 | $12.01 | +6.3% |
| May 2026 | $10.21 | $11.65 | +14.1% |
| Feb 2026 | $9.46 | $9.44 | -0.2% |
| Oct 2025 | $9.98 | $10.21 | +2.3% |
| Aug 2025 | $10.07 | $9.97 | -1.0% |
| May 2025 | $9.48 | $9.86 | +4.0% |
| Jan 2025 | $9.74 | $9.71 | -0.3% |
| Oct 2024 | $9.97 | $9.87 | -1.0% |
GWW's QScore of 59 indicates a moderately attractive stock, driven by strong momentum and low risk. The stock scores high on momentum, with a 12-month return of 41.3% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average trend, but is held back by lower scores in value and growth, due to a P/E of 34.5 and negative EPS growth of -9.1%. Notably, the short-term score of 63 diverges from the long-term score of 55, suggesting a recent uptick in the stock's attractiveness.