MEDIUM confidence: 95% data completeness, but the composite (54) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Not enough return history to estimate factor exposures — 3 of 36 months required. This stock is too recently listed (or has too short a price history) for a reliable Fama-French regression.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-26.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8.0B— | $9.7B+21.4% | $10.9B+12.3% | $10.8B-0.6% | $11.2B+3.4% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.79— | $2.92+4.7% | $3.68+26.0% | $3.66-0.5% | $3.17-13.4% |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.1B— | $490M-55.5% | $169M-65.5% | $1.7B+916.7% | $3.4B+99.7% |
| Gross Margin | 88.2% | 88.5%+0.4pp | 88.9%+0.4pp | 88.0%-0.9pp | 38.5%-49.6pp |
| Operating Margin | 24.5% | 26.1%+1.6pp | 24.4%-1.6pp | 23.7%-0.7pp | 19.6%-4.1pp |
| Net Margin | 15.7% | 16.7%+1.0pp | 14.7%-2.0pp | 14.0%-0.7pp | 11.9%-2.1pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $88 avg across 4 analysts.
Buy-rated share 53% → 57% over ~3 months (+4pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $0.74 | $0.74 | -0.7% |
| Mar 2026 | $0.81 | $0.78 | -3.8% |
Net insider -$478K over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 2 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth below the analyst consensus of 8.2%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $1.8B (avg FY2024–FY2026; latest year $3.4B) · equity value $32.3B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 54 for Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc suggests a neutral outlook, with the stock's strengths and weaknesses balancing out. The company scores high on profitability, with a notable ROE of 17.5% and operating margin of 20.6%, and exhibits strong momentum, with a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average. However, its growth score is dragged down by a decline in EPS growth of -13.4%, and it trades at a premium, with a P/E of 25.2 and EV/EBITDA of 10.1, while also exhibiting higher risk due to a beta of 1.6 and significant 60-day volatility of 44.8%.