MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (52) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $17.6B— | $25.7B+46.2% | $23.1B-10.3% | $22.7B-1.6% | $25.2B+11.1% |
| EPS (dil.) | $5.28— | $4.68-11.4% | $3.65-22.0% | $6.00+64.4% | $3.66-39.0% |
| Free Cash Flow | $369M— | $375M+1.6% | $385M+2.7% | $205M-46.8% | $615M+200.0% |
| Gross Margin | 6.7% | 4.6%-2.1pp | 5.1%+0.5pp | 7.6%+2.5pp | 8.3%+0.7pp |
| Operating Margin | 4.3% | 2.6%-1.6pp | 2.8%+0.1pp | 3.5%+0.7pp | 3.7%+0.2pp |
| Net Margin | 2.5% | 1.5%-1.0pp | 1.3%-0.2pp | 3.2%+1.8pp | 2.1%-1.1pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $78 (last qtr, 5 analysts) → $80 (last mo, 3) (+3.3%).
Buy-rated share 100% → 100% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $2.50 | $0.94 | -62.4% |
| May 2026 | $1.72 | $2.85 | +65.7% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.64 | $0.09 | -94.5% |
| Nov 2025 | $1.54 | $0.64 | -58.4% |
| Aug 2025 | $1.68 | $0.33 | -80.4% |
| May 2025 | $1.69 | $1.21 | -28.4% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.48 | $0.75 | -49.3% |
| Nov 2024 | $1.35 | $-0.26 | -119.3% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
No recent open-market insider transactions.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of -2.4%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $402M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $615M) · equity value $10.2B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 52 for Sunoco LP suggests a neutral outlook, driven by a strong value profile, with a P/E of 14.6 and P/B of 1.2, indicating the stock trades at a reasonable multiple. The stock scores high on momentum, exhibiting strong 12-month returns of 46.0%. However, profitability scores are somewhat lower, with an ROE of 18.2% and operating margin of 4.9%, weighing on the overall score. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 2-point difference.