MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (31) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $62M— | $211M+239.0% | $245M+15.9% | $436M+78.3% | $602M+38.0% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-0.26— | $-0.29n/m | $-0.38n/m | $-0.38n/m | $-0.37n/m |
| Free Cash Flow | -$97M— | -$149Mn/m | -$154Mn/m | -$116Mn/m | -$322Mn/m |
| Gross Margin | -3.0% | 9.0%+12.0pp | 21.0%+12.0pp | 26.6%+5.6pp | 34.4%+7.8pp |
| Operating Margin | -164.0% | -64.1%+99.9pp | -72.7%-8.7pp | -43.5%+29.2pp | -38.0%+5.5pp |
| Net Margin | -188.5% | -64.4%+124.1pp | -74.6%-10.2pp | -43.6%+31.0pp | -32.9%+10.7pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $114 (last qtr, 7 analysts) → $124 (last mo, 3) (+9.2%).
Buy-rated share 63% → 79% over ~3 months (+16pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $-0.07 | $-0.07 | -4.4% |
| Feb 2026 | $-0.10 | $-0.09 | +8.9% |
| Nov 2025 | $-0.10 | $0.01 | +110.1% |
| Aug 2025 | $-0.10 | $-0.10 | -5.0% |
| May 2025 | $-0.11 | $-0.12 | -12.6% |
| Feb 2025 | $-0.09 | $-0.10 | -11.1% |
| Nov 2024 | $-0.09 | $-0.10 | -6.7% |
| Aug 2024 | $-0.10 | $-0.08 | +20.0% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$92.0M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 80 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 31 indicates a relatively weak assessment of RKLB, driven down by poor scores in Value and Risk, as well as low Profitability, with a negative ROE of -12.3% and operating margin of -33.2%. The stock trades at a significant premium, with a P/B of 22.6 and EV/EBITDA of -315.1. However, it exhibits strong momentum, with a 12-month return of 161.3% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average trend, contributing to its higher short-term score of 38 compared to its long-term score of 24.