MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (60) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Net insider -$29.1M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 24 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Avg target $298 (last qtr, 8 analysts) → $308 (last mo, 4) (+3.4%).
Buy-rated share 70% → 64% over ~3 months (-6pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $3.69 | $3.73 | +1.1% |
| Apr 2026 | $2.27 | $2.54 | +11.9% |
| Feb 2026 | $3.66 | $3.59 | -1.9% |
| Oct 2025 | $3.56 | $3.57 | +0.3% |
| Jul 2025 | $3.11 | $3.32 | +6.8% |
| Apr 2025 | $2.40 | $2.46 | +2.5% |
| Feb 2025 | $3.39 | $3.45 | +1.8% |
| Oct 2024 | $3.42 | $3.44 | +0.6% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $9.9B— | $12.5B+25.6% | $12.0B-3.9% | $12.7B+6.1% | $12.7B-0.2% |
| EPS (dil.) | $9.65— | $16.94+75.5% | $8.69-48.7% | $11.06+27.3% | $11.99+8.4% |
| Free Cash Flow | $234M— | -$321M-237.2% | -$881Mn/m | -$418Mn/m | $459Mn/m |
| Gross Margin | 20.8% | 22.8%+2.0pp | 20.8%-2.0pp | 20.0%-0.8pp | 20.3%+0.3pp |
| Operating Margin | 8.8% | 11.4%+2.6pp | 9.0%-2.5pp | 8.4%-0.6pp | 8.7%+0.3pp |
| Net Margin | 5.2% | 7.0%+1.7pp | 3.4%-3.6pp | 3.8%+0.5pp | 3.9%+0.1pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
The QScore of 60 indicates a moderately attractive stock, driven by strong value and risk scores, with a value score of 63 due to a reasonable P/E of 21.4 and EV/EBITDA of 7.1. The stock's growth score is somewhat lower at 54, despite strong EPS growth of 8.1% and impressive FCF growth of 209.8%, as revenue growth remains sluggish at -0.2%. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with the short-term score slightly higher at 61, reflecting the stock's strong momentum with a 12-month return of 47.8%.