MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (55) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.0B— | $2.1B+106.9% | $3.1B+46.4% | $5.0B+60.2% | $5.1B+1.3% |
| EPS (dil.) | $0.46— | $1.61+250.0% | $1.24-23.0% | $1.45+16.9% | $1.28-11.7% |
| Free Cash Flow | $199M— | $588M+196.0% | $420M-28.6% | $291M-30.6% | $557M+91.3% |
| Gross Margin | 53.3% | 66.5%+13.2pp | 52.9%-13.6pp | 47.1%-5.8pp | 32.7%-14.4pp |
| Operating Margin | 36.0% | 47.3%+11.3pp | 35.1%-12.1pp | 34.9%-0.2pp | 29.0%-5.8pp |
| Net Margin | 13.4% | 24.2%+10.7pp | 15.3%-8.9pp | 19.7%+4.4pp | 18.5%-1.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$1.7M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 4 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of -0.2%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $423M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $557M) · equity value $21.8B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Avg target $28 (last qtr, 10 analysts) → $28 (last mo, 5) (+1.1%).
Buy-rated share 90% → 92% over ~3 months (+1pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $0.58 | $0.93 | +59.0% |
| May 2026 | $0.38 | $0.05 | -86.9% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.28 | $0.45 | +58.5% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.31 | $0.08 | -74.0% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.27 | $0.27 | +0.0% |
| May 2025 | $0.42 | $0.42 | -0.8% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.36 | $0.36 | +0.0% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.31 | $0.56 | +80.6% |
The QScore of 55 for Permian Resources Corporation suggests a neutral outlook, driven by strong momentum with a 12-month return of 107.7% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average. However, this is somewhat offset by lower scores in growth, due to negative EPS growth of -14.9%, and profitability, with an ROE of 11.3%. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively close, with the short-term score 8 points higher, indicating some recent strength. The stock trades at a P/E of 16.8, which is relatively in line with its peers.