MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (51) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $79.5B— | $86.4B+8.7% | $91.5B+5.9% | $91.9B+0.4% | $93.9B+2.3% |
| EPS (dil.) | $5.48— | $6.42+17.2% | $6.56+2.2% | $6.95+5.9% | $6.00-13.7% |
| Free Cash Flow | $7.0B— | $5.6B-19.8% | $7.9B+41.4% | $7.2B-9.3% | $7.7B+6.7% |
| Gross Margin | 53.3% | 53.0%-0.3pp | 54.2%+1.2pp | 54.6%+0.3pp | 54.1%-0.4pp |
| Operating Margin | 14.0% | 13.3%-0.7pp | 13.1%-0.2pp | 14.0%+0.9pp | 14.4%+0.3pp |
| Net Margin | 9.6% | 10.3%+0.7pp | 9.9%-0.4pp | 10.4%+0.5pp | 8.8%-1.7pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $155 avg across 18 analysts.
Buy-rated share 35% → 29% over ~3 months (-6pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $2.19 | $2.20 | +0.5% |
| Apr 2026 | $1.54 | $1.61 | +4.5% |
| Feb 2026 | $2.24 | $2.26 | +0.9% |
| Oct 2025 | $2.26 | $2.29 | +1.3% |
| Jul 2025 | $2.03 | $2.12 | +4.4% |
| Apr 2025 | $1.49 | $1.48 | -0.7% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.95 | $1.96 | +0.5% |
| Oct 2024 | $2.29 | $2.31 | +0.9% |
Net insider -$6.2M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 4 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 2.6%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $7.6B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $7.7B) · equity value $191.7B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 51 for PepsiCo indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's strengths and weaknesses balancing out. PepsiCo scores high on profitability, with an ROE near 50%, and exhibits moderate value, trading at a P/E of 18.4. However, its growth and momentum categories are relatively weaker, driven by negative EPS growth and a decline of 4.4% over the past year. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 3-point difference, suggesting a consistent view of the stock's prospects.