MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (48) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-09-13.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $27.3B— | $46.8B+71.8% | $38.3B-18.2% | $33.1B-13.6% | $29.3B-11.4% |
| EPS (dil.) | $1.90— | $22.84+1102.1% | $16.52-27.7% | $-4.60-127.8% | $-1.39n/m |
| Free Cash Flow | $228M— | $4.1B+1713.6% | $679M-83.6% | -$348M-151.2% | -$783Mn/m |
| Gross Margin | 3.3% | 10.0%+6.7pp | 6.3%-3.7pp | -1.1%-7.4pp | -1.9%-0.8pp |
| Operating Margin | 2.2% | 8.9%+6.7pp | 7.7%-1.2pp | -2.1%-9.8pp | -0.2%+1.9pp |
| Net Margin | 0.8% | 6.1%+5.3pp | 5.6%-0.6pp | -1.6%-7.2pp | -0.5%+1.1pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $85 (last qtr, 8 analysts) → $93 (last mo, 4) (+9.9%).
Buy-rated share 7% → 7% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $11.12 | $12.78 | +14.9% |
| Jul 2026 | $4.15 | $6.22 | +49.9% |
| Apr 2026 | $-0.79 | $-0.88 | -11.4% |
| Feb 2026 | $-0.15 | $0.49 | +426.7% |
| Oct 2025 | $-0.69 | $-0.52 | +24.6% |
| Jul 2025 | $-1.19 | $-1.03 | +13.4% |
| May 2025 | $-3.50 | $-3.09 | +11.7% |
| Feb 2025 | $-1.80 | $-2.82 | -56.7% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$270.7M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 35 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 48 for PBF Energy indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a high value score of 73 due to its low P/E of 3.4 and P/B of 1.2. However, this is offset by a low risk score of 16, reflecting high volatility, and a growth score of 40, impacted by negative revenue growth of -11.4%. The stock exhibits strong momentum, with a 12-month return of 128.5%, and scores relatively well on profitability, with an ROE near 43%. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 4-point difference.