MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (52) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $26.0B— | $36.3B+39.6% | $28.3B-21.9% | $22.0B-22.3% | $21.6B-1.9% |
| EPS (dil.) | $1.58— | $12.40+684.8% | $3.90-68.5% | $2.44-37.4% | $1.61-34.0% |
| Free Cash Flow | $7.6B— | $12.5B+64.7% | $6.1B-51.3% | $4.4B-27.1% | $4.1B-7.1% |
| Gross Margin | 29.3% | 47.0%+17.7pp | 34.4%-12.6pp | 36.4%+2.0pp | 33.8%-2.6pp |
| Operating Margin | 18.0% | 36.6%+18.7pp | 22.9%-13.7pp | 21.3%-1.6pp | 17.2%-4.1pp |
| Net Margin | 8.9% | 36.5%+27.6pp | 16.5%-20.0pp | 13.8%-2.7pp | 11.0%-2.8pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $70 (last qtr, 18 analysts) → $68 (last mo, 9) (-2.8%).
Buy-rated share 36% → 43% over ~3 months (+7pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $1.83 | $2.40 | +31.1% |
| May 2026 | $0.60 | $1.06 | +76.4% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.16 | $0.31 | +88.0% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.51 | $0.64 | +25.0% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.30 | $0.39 | +31.2% |
| May 2025 | $0.78 | $0.87 | +11.1% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.68 | $0.80 | +18.2% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.74 | $1.00 | +35.1% |
Net insider $250K over 180 days (1 open-market buys, 0 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of -1.8%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $4.9B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $4.1B) · equity value $64.0B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 52 for Occidental Petroleum Corporation suggests a neutral outlook, driven by strong value and momentum scores, which are offset by weaker growth and risk metrics. The stock scores high on value, trading at a P/E of 9.6 and exhibiting a low EV/EBITDA of 5.3, while its momentum is boosted by a 12-month return of 57.7% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average trend. In contrast, growth scores are lower due to declines in revenue and EPS, with a notable -34.7% EPS growth. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, indicating a consistent view across different time horizons.