MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (37) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-08-23.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Net insider -$29.5M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 20 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Avg target $131 (last qtr, 18 analysts) → $132 (last mo, 9) (+0.9%).
Buy-rated share 78% → 90% over ~3 months (+12pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $1.10 | $1.31 | +19.1% |
| Jul 2026 | $1.05 | $1.20 | +14.3% |
| May 2026 | $0.92 | $1.05 | +13.8% |
| Jan 2026 | $0.93 | $1.10 | +18.3% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.06 | $1.19 | +12.3% |
| Jul 2025 | $1.03 | $1.16 | +12.6% |
| May 2025 | $0.96 | $1.29 | +34.0% |
| Jan 2025 | $0.59 | $1.03 | +74.6% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.5B— | $1.9B+30.5% | $2.5B+31.4% | $3.0B+18.4% | $3.6B+20.3% |
| EPS (dil.) | $1.11— | $0.01-99.3% | $3.37+43105.1% | $3.47+3.0% | $3.84+10.7% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$153M— | $104Mn/m | $422M+304.2% | $622M+47.3% | $512M-17.7% |
| Gross Margin | 10.1% | 15.1%+5.0pp | 27.7%+12.6pp | 33.7%+6.1pp | 32.6%-1.1pp |
| Operating Margin | 4.5% | 8.9%+4.3pp | 23.5%+14.6pp | 21.6%-1.9pp | 19.6%-2.0pp |
| Net Margin | 3.5% | 6.3%+2.8pp | 12.3%+6.0pp | 17.2%+5.0pp | 16.5%-0.7pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth below the analyst consensus of 13.5%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $519M (avg FY2024–FY2026; latest year $512M) · equity value $12.0B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 37 for Nextpower Inc. suggests a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of positive and negative factors. The stock scores high on profitability, with a robust ROE of 25.3%, and exhibits decent value, trading at a P/E of 19.4. However, it is dragged down by weak momentum, with a 12-month return of -23.2% and a bearish 50-day versus 200-day moving average crossover, as well as elevated risk due to a beta of 1.9 and high 60-day volatility of 49.6%. The long-term score is slightly higher than the short-term score, indicating a minor divergence.