MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (51) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 1.1%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $4.0B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $2.5B) · equity value $68.0B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Avg target $314 (last qtr, 9 analysts) → $319 (last mo, 4) (+1.5%).
Buy-rated share 91% → 91% over ~3 months (-0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $4.33 | $5.65 | +30.5% |
| Aug 2026 | $3.11 | $14.65 | +371.1% |
| May 2026 | $4.25 | $-16.65 | -491.8% |
| Feb 2026 | $3.80 | $10.71 | +181.8% |
| Oct 2025 | $2.91 | $4.75 | +63.2% |
| Aug 2025 | $2.49 | $7.30 | +193.2% |
| May 2025 | $2.81 | $1.57 | -44.1% |
| Feb 2025 | $2.69 | $4.33 | +61.0% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $17.6B— | $33.8B+91.4% | $20.3B-39.9% | $15.8B-22.2% | $19.6B+24.4% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-9.25— | $5.64n/m | $40.73+622.2% | $14.20-65.1% | $24.13+69.9% |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.5B— | $8.7B+478.4% | $6.3B-27.6% | $3.2B-49.9% | $2.5B-22.0% |
| Gross Margin | 31.9% | 34.2%+2.3pp | 40.0%+5.9pp | 33.5%-6.5pp | 29.0%-4.6pp |
| Operating Margin | 30.0% | 32.9%+2.9pp | 37.7%+4.8pp | 30.7%-6.9pp | 27.0%-3.7pp |
| Net Margin | -13.3% | 4.2%+17.5pp | 48.7%+44.5pp | 20.6%-28.1pp | 27.1%+6.5pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
No recent open-market insider transactions.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 51 for LNG indicates a neutral outlook, driven by strong momentum and profitability scores, which are offset by lower value and risk scores. The stock exhibits strong momentum, with a 12-month return of 56.5% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average trend. In contrast, it trades at a premium, with a P/E of 22.8 and P/B of 10.4, contributing to its lower value score. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively close, with the short-term score 7 points higher, reflecting recent positive trends.