MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (55) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Avg target $43 (last qtr, 1 analysts) → $43 (last mo, 1) (+0.0%).
Buy-rated share 52% → 48% over ~3 months (-4pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $0.40 | $0.48 | +21.2% |
| Jan 2026 | $0.36 | $0.39 | +6.9% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.29 | $0.29 | -1.0% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.28 | $0.28 | +0.1% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.36 | $0.34 | -4.3% |
| Jan 2025 | $0.34 | $0.32 | -4.6% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.27 | $0.25 | -7.4% |
| Jul 2024 | $0.26 | $0.25 | -3.8% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $17.5B— | $19.6B+11.5% | $15.2B-22.5% | $15.1B-0.5% | $16.9B+12.5% |
| EPS (dil.) | $0.78— | $1.12+43.6% | $1.06-5.4% | $1.17+10.4% | $1.37+17.1% |
| Free Cash Flow | $4.4B— | $3.3B-24.4% | $4.1B+23.9% | $3.0B-27.5% | $3.2B+7.2% |
| Gross Margin | 36.3% | 28.1%-8.2pp | 33.9%+5.7pp | 36.7%+2.8pp | 43.7%+7.0pp |
| Operating Margin | 30.1% | 22.6%-7.5pp | 26.7%+4.1pp | 29.1%+2.4pp | 28.4%-0.7pp |
| Net Margin | 10.2% | 13.0%+2.9pp | 15.8%+2.7pp | 17.3%+1.6pp | 18.0%+0.7pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$2.1M over 180 days (1 open-market buys, 12 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
KMI's QScore of 55 indicates a neutral outlook, driven by its strong momentum and low risk profile, with scores of 63 in these categories. However, the stock's value and growth scores are more subdued, at 47, due to its P/E of 22.3 and moderate revenue growth of 12.5%. The company exhibits strong momentum, with a 12-month return of 17.2% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average trend. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 6-point difference.