MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (54) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $34.4B— | $35.5B+3.1% | $33.0B-6.9% | $34.7B+5.2% | $37.4B+7.8% |
| EPS (dil.) | $7.91— | $7.27-8.1% | $8.47+16.5% | $8.71+2.8% | $7.36-15.5% |
| Free Cash Flow | $5.1B— | $4.5B-12.3% | $4.6B+2.0% | $5.2B+13.6% | $5.4B+3.2% |
| Gross Margin | 35.9% | 37.0%+1.1pp | 37.5%+0.5pp | 38.5%+1.0pp | 36.9%-1.5pp |
| Operating Margin | 18.0% | 18.1%+0.1pp | 18.5%+0.4pp | 19.2%+0.7pp | 17.5%-1.7pp |
| Net Margin | 16.1% | 14.0%-2.1pp | 17.1%+3.1pp | 16.4%-0.7pp | 12.6%-3.8pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$2.8M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 6 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Avg target $256 (last qtr, 7 analysts) → $260 (last mo, 5) (+1.4%).
Buy-rated share 58% → 54% over ~3 months (-4pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $2.32 | $2.45 | +5.6% |
| Jan 2026 | $2.54 | $2.59 | +2.0% |
| Oct 2025 | $2.44 | $2.82 | +15.6% |
| Jul 2025 | $2.66 | $2.75 | +3.4% |
| Apr 2025 | $2.21 | $2.51 | +13.6% |
| Feb 2025 | $2.32 | $2.47 | +6.5% |
| Oct 2024 | $2.50 | $2.58 | +3.2% |
| Jul 2024 | $2.42 | $2.49 | +2.9% |
The QScore of 54 for Honeywell International indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a relatively strong risk profile and decent momentum, with the stock exhibiting a 12-month return of 4.7% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average trend. However, the stock trades at a premium, with a P/E of 32.8, which weighs on its value score. The growth category scores lower due to a decline in EPS growth of 15.5%, while profitability metrics such as ROE near 24% provide some support. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, suggesting a consistent view of the stock's prospects.