MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (49) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Avg target $1009 (last qtr, 5 analysts) → $1000 (last mo, 2) (-0.9%).
Buy-rated share 30% → 28% over ~3 months (-2pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $16.47 | $17.55 | +6.6% |
| Jan 2026 | $11.70 | $14.01 | +19.7% |
| Oct 2025 | $11.03 | $12.25 | +11.1% |
| Jul 2025 | $9.65 | $10.91 | +13.1% |
| Apr 2025 | $12.32 | $14.12 | +14.6% |
| Jan 2025 | $8.03 | $11.95 | +48.8% |
| Oct 2024 | $6.89 | $8.40 | +21.9% |
| Jul 2024 | $8.34 | $8.62 | +3.4% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$64.6M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 74 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $65.0B— | $68.7B+5.7% | $108.4B+57.8% | $126.9B+17.0% | $125.1B-1.4% |
| EPS (dil.) | $59.45— | $30.06-49.4% | $22.87-23.9% | $40.54+77.3% | $51.32+26.6% |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.6B— | $5.0B+204.1% | -$14.9B-400.5% | -$15.3Bn/m | -$47.2Bn/m |
| Gross Margin | 90.8% | 65.0%-25.8pp | 41.7%-23.3pp | 41.1%-0.6pp | 47.5%+6.4pp |
| Operating Margin | 41.6% | 19.6%-22.0pp | 9.9%-9.7pp | 14.5%+4.6pp | 17.5%+3.0pp |
| Net Margin | 33.3% | 16.4%-16.9pp | 7.9%-8.5pp | 11.3%+3.4pp | 13.7%+2.5pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
The QScore of 49 for GS indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's short-term score exceeding its long-term score by 9 points. GS scores high on momentum, driven by its 52.2% return over the past year and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average trend. However, the stock's value and growth scores are weighed down by its P/E of 18.4 and negative revenue growth, while its profitability score is impacted by a negative free cash flow yield. Overall, GS trades at a moderate valuation and exhibits strong momentum.