MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (54) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-19.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Avg target $267 (last qtr, 17 analysts) → $256 (last mo, 11) (-4.1%).
Buy-rated share 57% → 61% over ~3 months (+4pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $2.90 | $3.92 | +35.2% |
| Apr 2026 | $3.03 | $3.22 | +6.3% |
| Feb 2026 | $5.14 | $4.84 | -5.8% |
| Oct 2025 | $4.24 | $4.24 | +0.0% |
| Jul 2025 | $2.66 | $3.18 | +19.5% |
| Apr 2025 | $2.49 | $1.95 | -21.7% |
| Feb 2025 | $4.81 | $3.65 | -24.1% |
| Oct 2024 | $3.14 | $2.91 | -7.3% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.9B— | $2.6B-10.4% | $3.3B+26.7% | $4.2B+26.7% | $5.2B+24.1% |
| EPS (dil.) | $4.38— | $-0.41-109.4% | $7.74n/m | $12.02+55.3% | $14.21+18.2% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$303M— | -$30Mn/m | -$785Mn/m | -$308Mn/m | $1.2Bn/m |
| Gross Margin | 25.0% | 2.7%-22.3pp | 39.2%+36.5pp | 44.2%+5.0pp | 40.6%-3.5pp |
| Operating Margin | 20.1% | -1.0%-21.1pp | 25.8%+26.9pp | 33.2%+7.3pp | 30.6%-2.6pp |
| Net Margin | 16.0% | -1.7%-17.7pp | 25.0%+26.7pp | 30.7%+5.7pp | 29.3%-1.4pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$14.3M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 64 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 7.9%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $32M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $1.2B) · equity value $24.2B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 54 for First Solar indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of positive and negative factors. The stock scores high on growth, with revenue growth of 24.1% and EPS growth of 18.1%, and exhibits strong value metrics, including a P/E of 13.8. However, its momentum is somewhat muted, with a 3-month return of -4.7%, and it scores lower on risk, due to a beta of 1.7 and high 60-day volatility of 63.2%. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 3-point difference.