MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (53) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.1B— | $4.1B+34.7% | $5.2B+25.8% | $7.0B+35.0% | $9.1B+29.5% |
| EPS (dil.) | $3.93— | $6.82+73.5% | $9.01+32.1% | $14.60+62.0% | $28.88+97.8% |
| Free Cash Flow | $158M— | $253M+60.4% | $545M+115.2% | $738M+35.5% | $1.0B+39.8% |
| Gross Margin | 18.3% | 17.9%-0.4pp | 19.0%+1.1pp | 21.0%+2.0pp | 24.1%+3.1pp |
| Operating Margin | 6.1% | 6.1%+0.0pp | 8.0%+1.9pp | 10.7%+2.6pp | 14.4%+3.8pp |
| Net Margin | 4.7% | 5.9%+1.3pp | 6.2%+0.3pp | 7.4%+1.2pp | 11.2%+3.8pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$116.6M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 19 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Avg target $2024 (last qtr, 6 analysts) → $2125 (last mo, 1) (+5.0%).
Buy-rated share 75% → 88% over ~3 months (+13pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $6.81 | $10.51 | +54.3% |
| Feb 2026 | $6.75 | $9.37 | +38.8% |
| Oct 2025 | $6.29 | $8.25 | +31.2% |
| Jul 2025 | $4.84 | $6.53 | +34.9% |
| Apr 2025 | $3.66 | $4.75 | +29.8% |
| Feb 2025 | $3.63 | $4.09 | +12.7% |
| Oct 2024 | $3.97 | $4.09 | +3.0% |
| Jul 2024 | $3.14 | $3.74 | +19.1% |
The QScore of 53 for FIX indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of strong growth and momentum, but tempered by high valuation and risk factors. The stock scores high on growth, with revenue and EPS growth of 29.5% and 97.6%, respectively, and exhibits strong momentum with a 12-month return of 265.3%. However, it trades at a premium, with a P/E of 53.4, and exhibits higher risk, with a beta of 1.7 and 60-day volatility of 53.2%. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with the short-term score 7 points higher.