MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (50) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Avg target $162 (last qtr, 9 analysts) → $171 (last mo, 3) (+6.0%).
Buy-rated share 41% → 43% over ~3 months (+3pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $4.97 | $5.07 | +2.0% |
| May 2026 | $3.23 | $3.41 | +5.6% |
| Feb 2026 | $2.20 | $2.27 | +3.2% |
| Nov 2025 | $2.46 | $2.71 | +10.2% |
| Aug 2025 | $2.23 | $2.32 | +4.0% |
| May 2025 | $2.80 | $2.87 | +2.5% |
| Feb 2025 | $2.55 | $2.74 | +7.5% |
| Nov 2024 | $3.01 | $3.44 | +14.3% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $19.7B— | $29.5B+49.9% | $23.2B-21.4% | $23.4B+0.8% | $22.6B-3.5% |
| EPS (dil.) | $7.99— | $13.22+65.5% | $13.00-1.7% | $11.25-13.5% | $9.11-19.0% |
| Free Cash Flow | $4.9B— | $6.1B+23.3% | $5.2B-15.4% | $5.8B+11.9% | $3.9B-31.9% |
| Gross Margin | 72.8% | 83.5%+10.7pp | 78.7%-4.8pp | 75.7%-3.0pp | 68.1%-7.6pp |
| Operating Margin | 31.0% | 33.8%+2.8pp | 41.4%+7.6pp | 34.6%-6.9pp | 35.1%+0.6pp |
| Net Margin | 23.7% | 26.3%+2.6pp | 32.8%+6.4pp | 27.4%-5.4pp | 22.1%-5.3pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 0.4%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $5.0B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $3.9B) · equity value $75.6B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$2.8M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 8 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 50 for EOG Resources indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of positive and negative factors. The stock scores high on value, with a P/E of 11.0, and exhibits strong profitability, with an ROE of 22.4% and an operating margin of 39.1%. However, its growth score is weighed down by negative revenue and earnings growth, while its risk score is impacted by relatively high volatility. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 3-point difference.