MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (55) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Avg target $0 (last qtr, 0 analysts) → $0 (last mo, 0).
Buy-rated share 14% → 5% over ~3 months (-9pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $2.39 | $1.50 | -37.2% |
| Feb 2026 | $4.72 | $4.82 | +2.1% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.30 | $1.21 | -6.9% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.11 | $0.25 | +125.8% |
| May 2025 | $1.05 | $1.54 | +46.7% |
| Feb 2025 | $3.41 | $2.83 | -17.0% |
| Oct 2024 | $2.03 | $2.15 | +5.9% |
| Jul 2024 | $0.42 | $0.52 | +25.2% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.0B— | $7.4B+6.2% | $7.6B+1.8% | $7.5B-1.3% | $7.5B+0.9% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.76— | $2.88+4.3% | $4.68+62.5% | $4.23-9.6% | $3.51-17.0% |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.7B— | $1.3B-21.5% | $2.1B+57.6% | $1.9B-12.2% | $2.3B+25.0% |
| Gross Margin | 73.4% | 75.9%+2.5pp | 77.4%+1.5pp | 79.3%+1.9pp | 79.0%-0.4pp |
| Operating Margin | 16.1% | 17.9%+1.8pp | 20.1%+2.1pp | 20.4%+0.3pp | 15.4%-4.9pp |
| Net Margin | 11.3% | 10.8%-0.5pp | 16.8%+6.0pp | 15.0%-1.8pp | 11.8%-3.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$5.1M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 8 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 55 for Electronic Arts indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's short-term score slightly exceeding its long-term score. The stock scores high on momentum, driven by a 30% return over the past year, and exhibits low risk with a beta of 0.6. However, it trades at a premium, with a P/E of 57.8, and scores lower on value and growth due to sluggish revenue growth of 0.9% and a decline in EPS.