MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (55) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net insider -$5.1M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 8 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.0B— | $7.4B+6.2% | $7.6B+1.8% | $7.5B-1.3% | $7.5B+0.9% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.76— | $2.88+4.3% | $4.68+62.5% | $4.23-9.6% | $3.51-17.0% |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.7B— | $1.3B-21.5% | $2.1B+57.6% | $1.9B-12.2% | $2.3B+25.0% |
| Gross Margin | 73.4% | 75.9%+2.5pp | 77.4%+1.5pp | 79.3%+1.9pp | 79.0%-0.4pp |
| Operating Margin | 16.1% | 17.9%+1.8pp | 20.1%+2.1pp | 20.4%+0.3pp | 15.4%-4.9pp |
| Net Margin | 11.3% | 10.8%-0.5pp | 16.8%+6.0pp | 15.0%-1.8pp | 11.8%-3.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $0 (last qtr, 0 analysts) → $0 (last mo, 0).
Buy-rated share 14% → 5% over ~3 months (-9pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $2.39 | $1.50 | -37.2% |
| Feb 2026 | $4.72 | $4.82 | +2.1% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.30 | $1.21 | -6.9% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.11 | $0.25 | +125.8% |
| May 2025 | $1.05 | $1.54 | +46.7% |
| Feb 2025 | $3.41 | $2.83 | -17.0% |
| Oct 2024 | $2.03 | $2.15 | +5.9% |
| Jul 2024 | $0.42 | $0.52 | +25.2% |
The QScore of 55 for Electronic Arts indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's short-term score slightly outpacing its long-term score. The stock scores high on momentum, driven by a 30% return over the past year, and exhibits low risk with a beta of 0.6. However, it trades at a premium, with a P/E of 57.8, which weighs on its value score, and its growth score is also subdued due to negative EPS growth. Overall, the stock's strong momentum and low risk are offset by its high valuation and lackluster growth.